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LongshotValue

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LongshotValue

Category Archives: Festival Selections

Irish Grand National Some Target

09 Monday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Festival Selections

≈ Leave a comment

Some Target has been very consistent over the last year or two and did run a very good race in the Grand National Trial at Haydock, travelling well throughout but weakening near the end. I’m sure this would be his target and he is in here of a very workable weight with Paul Townend in the saddle. The rain yesterday and today will only help his chances He is a stayer really and looks to be almost nailed on to place in the first 5. 22/1 with 5 places on Bet365 looks worth taking.

1pt EW 22/1 Bet365 12345

Irish Grand National

09 Monday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Festival Selections

≈ Leave a comment

Two previously advised tips running today

Shakervilz is 50/1 EW with Boyles 12345

Deal Done is 33/1 EW with PP 12345

15:10 Fairyhouse Bat Masterson

09 Monday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Festival Selections

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Bat Masterson has been running consistently well this year, and has plenty of experience for a 4yo. He ran on eye-catchingly in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham and looks to be helped by the step up in trip here. He has the benefit of a not inconsiderable 4yo allowance here, and given his experience he should be able to take advantage of it here. The 14/1 available in a few places looks to be about 3 points too big and well worth a bet.

1 Point win 14/1 Ladbrokes

Irish Grand National Shakervilz

08 Sunday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Festival Selections

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As suggested earlier https://longshotvalue.com/2012/04/07/irish-grand-national-5/  I think Shakervilz  represents very decent EW value tomorrow. Im going to add another 1 pt EW at 40/1 with Paddy Power Paying 5 places. He was 7th last year running on well, has 3lbs lower tomorrow and a 7lbs claimer witha very good record on.

1pt EW Paddy Power 12345 40/1

Irish Grand National

07 Saturday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Festival Selections

≈ Leave a comment

I’m going to suggest a small win bet on Shakervilz for this at what seems an unbelievable price on betfair at the moment. He is 65 to win, and finished a staying on 7th last year. He has a very decent hurdles run behind Voler le Vedette in December this year, and also was putting up a very good performance against Saludos over too short until falling late on. Ill suggest 1/2 a point at that price to win and ill probably add and EW bet with 5 places later.

.5 Points win 65 Betfair

Irish Grand National

07 Saturday Apr 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Ante Post, Festival Selections

≈ Leave a comment

Deal Done has the look of the type of horse I like in this race. He ran well last year of 1lbs higher having lead to 2 out but got tired in the finish, possibly having had a hard enough race at Cheltenham as well, when he finished a very good 3rd to Junior. He has had an eye opening preparation for this race in that he has had only 1 run in a hurdle and hopefully that is to keep his good mark for a big performance. 40/1 with Coral looks way to big and well worth a bet.

1pt EW 40/1 Coral

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