3:45
I’m going to take 2 French trained runners in this as it looks to me as if they will both be suited by the conditions and look overpriced on form. Hermival probably has the single best bit of form here in his very good 3rd in the 2000. He was a bit disappointing in the Irish version, but I’m not sure the race was run to suit and the ground there probably wasn’t to his liking. This greater test will surly suit him much better and I can see him finishing of his race better than most in these conditions. The same can be said of his stable companion Dragon Pulse who has top class 2yo form along with beating Dabirsim on his debut in France this year. Although he was poor enough in the French 2000 he hadn’t settled at all and if he can here he will be there at the finish as again he look sure to be suited by this test.
2 Points win Hermival 13 Betfair
2 Points win Dragon Pulse 14.5 Betfair
3:05
Secret Asset hasn’t really done much this year but he could be suited by the conditions today. His 2nd in the Abbey towards the end of last year would give him a small shot here, and there is inevitably one big priced outsider in the places in these races and he looks the most likely. 50/1 with 4 places on Bet365 looks with a min bet.
½ Point ew 50/1 Bet365 4 places
5:00
Elyaadi is the most proven horse around here in this field. When I look at the rest of the field nothing stands out and given that she is down to a rating 4lbs lower than before, for no apparent reason really, she has to have a superb chance here as this is bound to be her target for the year. 8/1 looks value.
1 Point win 8/1 Bet365
2:30
As much as i love watching a superstar, i can’t let any Horse like Excelebration who is clearly second best in what looks a 2 horse race go of at 14.5 on Betfair without having a small bet. This was easily Frankels worst race last year, and if there is anything amiss at all Excelebration looks very solid to take advantage. He looks more of a 8/1 shot to me.
1 Point win 14.5 Betfair
3:05
Prohibit last year’s winner looks to big on Betfair at the moment at 32 to win, he looks the most likely of the longshot to have a chance of winning here. His profile this year is not a lot different then last year, he ran an ok race in France before this and does go well on softer ground. Ill have a min bet at those odds
½ Point win Prohibit 32 Betfair