Taking a longish break from tipping until Royal Ascot podcast . That said I’m not about to let Van Beethoven go of at 33/1 in the French 2000 . Without an ew bet . Even on soft ground . His post trophy run had enough positives .
Stormy Ireland, will be suited by today’s race. Good Ground tight track. 7/1 is far too big. #neverseesanotherhorse
2 Points win 7/1 generally
Emaraaty Ana, seems a bit underestimated here. This race could be primed for a shock. 66/1 is definite value
1 Point EW 66/1 5places paddy/365
Aramon will be suited by trip, ground, and course. 12/1 seems very big to me. He let winner get away last time , that wont happen again
2 Points win 12/1 GEN
Ordinary World is 12/1 w/o min and UDS. This looks great value as this race could be mental pace which will suits him.
2 Points win w/o min & UDS 12/1 Bet 365
Gods Own is up to 11/1 in the w/o Altior market. As much as i like Sceau Royal he is far too short and Gods own is twice the price he should be given he will ride for place and Sceau Royal may actually take on Altior.
2 Points win 11/1 w/o Altior Sky 10/1 Elsewhere
Petit Mouchoir was progressing nicely until not staying over 3miles at cheltenham. He was my horse to follow this year and i’d expect him to win here, over this trip and ground. 7/1 is at least twice his real price.
3 Points win 7/1 Generally
Apologies in advance for one more over the cliff. Valseur Lido has a lower mark and a 7lbs claimer on, he should have a decent chance if he got over Aintree well enough. He ran well but just didnt stay the extreme trip again.
1 Point EW 50/1 6 places paddy/365
Total Recall sticks out for me here. He looks of a workable mark, has run really well in his 2 runs this year over shorter trips and just cant be far away here after a light season.
2 Points win 23 Betfair/Betdaq
Buildmeupbuttercup is certainly overpriced here. She traveled as well as anything at cheltenham but probably didn’t like the hill and soft ground. I wouldn’t be surprised if she was right in the firing line here at a huge price
2 Points EW 66/1 4 places lads/betf/pad
@Ladbrokes actually boosted my Buildmeupbuttercup bet to 80/1. So even better value if anyone has a boost available.
Sizing Codelco ran well in this last year up to a few poor jumps and i’m pretty sure hell run well again here at a huge price. He’s lightly races and is likely been prepped for this race.
1 Point EW 6 places 66/1 VC/Hills
So Perfect was in my eyes one of the best 2 yo fillies last year. AOB’s are forward this year. 9/2 looks decent. She could be in a different league. My gut is the money could well come here.
2 Points win 9/2
South Seas, needs us to forgive him, his run in the Lincoln but he is a top class handicapper on his day and 40/1 is worth the risk to see if he runs better today.
1 Point EW 40/1 6 places paddy/Sky/fred/tote
Burbank looks a typical Aintree horse. He has had a very light season, and in both runs showed some encouraging signs. He has looked like a step up in trip will suit and a return to form puts him a fair few pounds well in here.
1 Point EW 28/1 5 places Lads 25/1 elsewhere
Some Buckle sticks out here after a reasonable run at Cheltenham after a long break. He is well able to get competitive of this mark and if he is on a going day 50/1 is going to look big.
1 Point EW 50/1 5 places paddy/betfair
The Bet365 offer is just too good to ignore, here are my 2 picks in addition to Valseur Lido already advised. 8 Points Total Spend with 4 Points Returned
- Monbeg Notorius, has a nice profile for this. He’s a young horse that’s a sure stayer and has had a light season.
- 2 Points EW 66/1 365 5 places
- Minella Rocco, is on a decent mark has surly been readied for this for a long time, and we’ll all be kicking ourselves if he runs a big race
- 2 Points EW 40/1 365 5 places
All Set to go ran well in this last year of a higher mark. He has actually won 3 races since (2 of those chases), and is still2 lbs lower. He will be better suited by the reasonably ground today and 66/1 seems very big.
1 Point EW 66/1 5 places lads/vc/sky
BigMartre strikes me as the kind of horse that could be well suited to this race. He is a prominent racer who could get into a rhythm near the front and be involved in the finish. If he can get back to last year’s form 40/1 should look big
1 Point EW 40/1 sky/lads/paddy
Going with two 33/1 shots here with soft ground form running of a good mark. Mount Mews has been a disappointment over fences but is better than a 137 rated hurdler and could recover form here. Point of Principle looks interesting with a 7lbs claimer on today. The Stable are in form, and he has some form as a novice that give us hope at a big price.
1 Point EW Mount Mews 6places sky 5 elsewhere
1 point EW Point of Principle 6places sky 5 elsewhere
Paddy Power and Betfair made a decent error pricing this up earlier when they went 20/1 Verdana Blue. I think she has a great chance here. The ground and track will be far more to her liking and with most of the others having had a very tough race a few weeks ago she’ll outrun those odds. Even though she ran in the champion hurdle, Davy spoke after the race and said he was easy on her in that ground.
2 Points EW 16/1 Betfair, Paddy
Some of Coastal Tiep’s form stands out here for a horse priced up at 66/1. I’d be hopeful that this trip will suit him and if he can improve on his decent run last time out he could be a factor here. He is only 7 and on ratings alone he shouldn’t be too far away.
1 Point EW 66/1 5 places paddy/lads
Lads actually boosted it to 80/1