• 100/1 Real Longshots
  • 2015 Bets +320 Points +198 BSP
  • 2014 Bets + 1 pts
  • 2013 Bets + 170 Points ADV + 122 BSP
  • Betting History Overall Total 840 Point Profit
  • 2015 Winners
  • 2016 Bets +40.5 Advised
  • Cheltenham Festival Huge Priced winner’s since 2010
  • Antepost Selections
  • 2023 Results 707.5 Points Profit 121 % ROI
  • 2022 Results 284 Point Profit 45.6% ROI
  • 2021 Results 250 Point Profit 30.8 % ROI
  • 2020 Results 193 Points Profit 37.9% ROI
  • 2019 50 Point loss ROI 13% loss
  • 2018 Results 18.5Points Profit 3.44% Roi
  • 2024 So Far 153.4 Profit on 628.75 invested ROI 26%
  • Cheltenham last 6 years Results

LongshotValue

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LongshotValue

Author Archives: longshotvalue

Troytown

25 Sunday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Navan 2:30

Arkwrisht looks a sure thing to win one of these races this year and i’m hopeful today could well be the day. He is an improving 8yo and had a nice run out lately over far too short a trip in prep for here.

1 Point win 14/1 paddy/betfair/boyles/tote

King George Ante-post

25 Sunday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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King George Ante-post

Thistlecrack caught the eye hugely yesterday in terms of the King George. I think he ran a remarkable race when he clearly didn’t jump as well as he could (possibly due to the fences), but stayed on really strongly at the end under a possibly tender enough ride. He will surely improve for that and no matter what way I look at it he looks a very likely winner of the King George. Might Bite should be his main treat but he was really poor yesterday. Unless it’s soft the race should be too quick for Native River and nothing else stands a chance unless Bristol De Mai can show up here as well as Haydock. Ill happily back the 16/1 available in Paddy Power every time I pass a shop between this and the race. In Fact any of the General 12/1 available will do for me.

3 Points win 16/1 Paddy Power / Betfair 12/1 generally.

Long Shot Saturday

24 Saturday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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2:25 Hay

Milrow Caught the eye traveling well last time and is back to a mark he was a very good second in a better race last year. I think he will get close enough here at a huge price. He’ll be getting near a stone from everything

2 Points EW 50/1 1/4 365 50/1 1/5 Gen

Ascot 3:15

Marracudja is back to his best trip, of a decent mark and I wouldn’t be surprised if today was the plan for a while. 16/1 looks a bit of value

1 Point win 16/1 Generally

Sunday longshots

18 Sunday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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1:15 Valadom .

On a nice mark and decent hurdles form

1ew 40/1 5 places

3:00 Mohaayed

Looks the possible class act here . Big price

1 ew 25/1 5 places

12:05 pun

Ballybroker Bridge best of the experienced ones .
1 win 8/1

Longshot Saturday

16 Friday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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2:25 Cheltenham

When I first looked at this race I thought I had found one of the bets of the season already. On subsequent looks in reality this is one of the best handicaps I’ve seen in a number of years. I’ll still go with my selection for this all week Romain De Senam. He was 5th in this last year on probably unsuitable soft ground of 7lbs higher. He has 2 runs already this season which should set him right for this and I would have him quite short to place here. The 7 places in paddy is huge value for this horse in particular.

2 Points EW 28/1 7 places Paddy Power

Cheltenham Friday Longshot

16 Friday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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3:0 @CheltenhamRaces

Bay of Freedom is an interesting newcomer to this and if he takes to this he he getting a huge amount of weight from the fav’s. He was also has form on good ground .25/1 is worth the risk

1 Point win Bay of Freedom 25/1

Last minute Longshot

11 Sunday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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3:25 @Sandownpark

Tenor Nivernais record fresh is outstanding and he has been given a huge chance by the handicapper here after a poor run of form last year. 14/1 might be worth a bet just in case

1 Point win 14/1 paddy/vc/betfair.hills

Melbourne Cup

06 Tuesday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Melbourne Cup

An easy Pick here in Nakeeta, who has to have a great chance of getting involved from a better draw this year on a good mark and at a huge price. Another that interested me at a price is Ventura Storm. He caught the eye in the Caulfield Cup, and won his last start. He was top class in the UK and seems well treated here.

1 Point EW 100/1 Nakeeta 365

1 Point win Ventura Storm 33/1 Gen

Classic Longshot

03 Saturday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Classic

Seriously on the Mendelssohn bandwagon here , but can’t resist s small ew on Axelrod . He was close to Mcensie last time that horse had run on race .

1 point ew 4 places 66/1 gen .

Friday Longshot

02 Friday Nov 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Churchill Downs 7:31

This race could well suit Moonlight Romance, who was impressive last time and seems to me to be a very big price for a trainer who knows how to train a sprinter.

1 Point win 20/1

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