In this typically competitive York sprint in going to go with two. Blue Jack has come down to a decent mark and although he has to carry top weight here (with a little help from the 7lbs claimer on) he is beginning to show signs to returning to form. Its been a while since he has raced on decent ground over 5 furlongs and that looks to be his best conditions. He is a nice price on Betfair at the moment and worth a bet. His last race at Chester can be ignored as he missed the break and that left him with no chance, but the time before he ran a very decent race to be 2^nd is what has turned out to be a very hot race. Im also going to have a small bet on a previous selection of mine in Hazelrigg. Although he was poor enough here last time he didn’t really get away, and his previous run looked like a return to form when an eyecatching 4^th. He has been running well on and off for the last 18months without a win but looks to have a shot today with what could be a decent draw and near bottom weight.

1Point win Blue Jack Betfair 25

1Point win Hazelrigg Betfair 26

Im going to go with one of my old favs here in Dancing Tornado. Altough his jumping has been poor lately, he is in here of a decent mark will like the good ground and if he can stay up 25/1 will look a decent price

1point EW 25/1 Stan James

In my view there is not that much between the 3 Willie Mullins Runners Here. Mourad ran a great race at Punchestown in heavy ground behind Quevega and Volor La Vadette. He has been pretty decent all year and although Thousand Stars has marginally better form,  there is a huge discrepancy in price as Mourad is 30 to win and 5.7 to place on Betfair. That place price looks to me to be at least twice his actual chance of placing here and worthy of a bigger bet than usual.

1 Point win 30 Betfair 3 Points place 5.7

14:55 Newmarket,

Swiss Franc has some decent course form on softer ground, having won here over 5 furlongs last july on Good-Soft. His first run this year was decent and the form has worked out well. Although he was poor next time out, he is back here of what looks a workable mark and is a very decent price in Ladbrokes at 25/1. That last race probably came too quick for him and although he is an inconsistent animal at best , that price is worth an EW bet in the conditions.

½ pt EW Ladbrokes 25/1

15:45 Doncaster

Prime Exhibit will love both the conditions and the course here. It is off-putting that he has what looks so far to be a weak enough claiming jockey on, but at 14.5 on Betfair it is worth the risk. In his last run he travelled well but just didn’t finish the race as well as it looked he might. If he can improve on that run on a course he has run well numerous times before hell have a decent shout here

1pt win 14.5 Betfair

15:30 Newmarket

Sandusky ran a very eye-catching seasonal debut in 4^th at Newmarket earlier this year on Good-Soft Ground. Although he was poor next time out on good ground, he is back here with what looks like the right conditions and probably with some improvement to come given that he’s lightly raced 4yo. There are a number of other similar unexposed horses but they are generally shorter in the betting and not proven on Soft Ground.

1pt win 17.5 Betfair

14:20 Newmarket

I’m going to go with a couple of the higher weighted horses here that could easily have enough class to win this class 3 event. It’s a step down in class for both Apostle and Campanology . Apostle looks sure to be suited by the softer ground given his decent seasonal reappearance win on soft ground. He ran well in a much better race last time out when not having an ideal draw or run of the race. Campanology has been highly tried with some very decent runs, but was poor last time on his handicap debut, I’m hoping the 2 lbs drop and 7lbs claimer will give him a very decent shout at a big price.

1 point win Apostle 22/1 Bet365

1 Point win Campanology 25/1 Betvictor

Able Master is out again today in a weak looking race. He ran an odd looking race last time when it seemed that he was about to tail off only to really pick near the end and end the race a fast finishing 5^th. The step up in trip soft ground and new lowest ever mark have to give him a shot here. He is clearly a risky enough proposition but 7/1 in this race looks value.

2 Points win 7/1 Coral

A very nice sprint handicap this evening, in which I’m going to go with small bets on a few of the outsiders with a chance. Blue Jack is one if backed a few times with no success but he looks down to a manageable mark and I’m hoping the step up in trip will help his fast finishing style. He was rated far higher 2 years ago and has looked a couple of times this year like his turn will come soon. Global City typically ran well at Mayden and was poor on his first run back but hopefully that has put him right and his mark of 93 might just give him scope to have a shot here. Its common with Mayden runners to take a while to get going again and his price is big enough for a small interest.

These 2 bets are also one from high and one from low draw which is always helpful in these races.

1 point win Blue Jack 26 Betfair

1 Point win Global City 17.5 Betfair

Tarkari has been a disappointing horse in the main since a very good run a few years ago in the Welsh Champion Hurdle over this Course & Distance. I’ve been waiting for him to fulfil his early promise having often looked like he’s not putting in a full effort. Tomorrow he has Tony McCoy aboard and first time visor and those 2 factors give me a bit of hope that he may be out for a decent effort tomorrow. He is 7/1 at the moment and it looks worth a bet of his new mark of 120, having run a decent race in a competitive hurdle in September of a mark of 129.

2 Points win 7/1 Ladbrokes, Bet365 , Betfair

I’m going to go with 2 decent priced horses in this good handicap. Navajo Chief has been in decent form this year without getting his head in front and ran a very good race last time out behind Fury at York. He is stepping up in trip here and judging by that last run it won’t do any harm. He has won of higher than today mark of 98 and just looks overpriced at the moment at 18.0 on Betfair. Fork Handles is a horse with some untapped potential, who is possibly overpriced due to a poor run last time on soft ground. The run before in the Rosemary Handicap was very good in a hot handicap of this mark and a repeat of that will put her in with a great shout here. Her last run can be ignored as it was over too short a trip on soft ground and the conditions and trip today should be far more suitable. 15.5 on Betfair looks well worth a bet.

Navajo Chief 1pt win Betfair 18.0

Fork Handles 1pt win Betfair 15.5

Entifaadha is a class animal on his 2yo form and ran a very good race first time out at Meyden this year. He has been poor twice since, but it is a regular occurrence that Meyden runners take a while to get back to form and he does look to have been given a change here of a mark of 100 down from 107 . If he can recapture any form the current 22 on Betfair is going to look great value.

1 pt Win Betfair 22

Montaff hopefully gets a chance here to make up for his poor enough showing last time I picked him 2 weeks ago.  His form has always been in and out but this 2 mile trip on Good-Firm is something that he has won on before and I’m hopeful he can get back to a bit here. He did show a decent level of form already this year when 3^rd at Ripon and a repeat of that would give him a great chance here in this weaker race.

1 Point win 16/1 Generally