• 100/1 Real Longshots
  • 2015 Bets +320 Points +198 BSP
  • 2014 Bets + 1 pts
  • 2013 Bets + 170 Points ADV + 122 BSP
  • Betting History Overall Total 840 Point Profit
  • 2015 Winners
  • 2016 Bets +40.5 Advised
  • Cheltenham Festival Huge Priced winner’s since 2010
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  • 2023 Results 707.5 Points Profit 121 % ROI
  • 2022 Results 284 Point Profit 45.6% ROI
  • 2021 Results 250 Point Profit 30.8 % ROI
  • 2020 Results 193 Points Profit 37.9% ROI
  • 2019 50 Point loss ROI 13% loss
  • 2018 Results 18.5Points Profit 3.44% Roi
  • 2024 So Far 153.4 Profit on 628.75 invested ROI 26%
  • Cheltenham last 6 years Results

LongshotValue

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Author Archives: longshotvalue

Sunday Long Shots

28 Sunday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Chantilly 2:45

Things didn’t go well for Max Dynamite in the Cadran but if we go back to his return to form in the Doncaster Cup, where Thomas Hobson had to pull out all the stops to get past him, that form would give him a chance here. This trip may well suit him better than the cadran trip as well. 20/1 look a huge price on that Doncaster Cup form considering what the winner did since.

2 Points win 20/1 Coral 18/1 Elsewhere

Long Shot Saturday

27 Saturday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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3:45 Cheltenham

Milrow really looked very good in this race last year, in what may have been a stronger race as only a 4yo. If he has improved at all surely he has been got ready for another shot here. 33/1 with 5 places seems very big to me and I’m fairly sure he goes of a fair bit shorter.

2 Points EW 33/1 5 places lads/betfair/vc/paddy

Long shot Sunday

21 Sunday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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4:00 cork

Three stars looks great value here of a workable mark . He also has a reasonable record fresh 16/1 doesn’t come within my ew plays so well go win only .

2 points win 16/1

Long shot Saturday

20 Saturday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Ascot

2:40 Flattering 125/1
3:15 I can fly 66/1 4 places
3:50 rhododendron 50/1
4:30 Escobar 66/1 5 places

All 1 pt ew

Friday night 100/1 shot

19 Friday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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8:00 Dundalk

I can’t resist a 100/1 shot and Fantasy might stand a tiny chance of getting to the front here . She was poor last time but ran into a gale and weakened .

1 point ew 100/1 365/sky

Long Shot Saturday

13 Saturday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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3:40 Newmarket.

Coeur de Lion’s chances of getting involved here look very strong . He has been running well this year and caught the eye at Ascot . He has form over the course and distance and 50/1 is huge.

2 points ew 50/1 6 places 1/4 place with 365

In addition I’ll give Scotland another shot he had far to much to do in the ebor but did make an eye catching move to get around the field and that left its mark . His gold cup run this year puts him in the picture here and I can’t resist a 3 figure price .

1 point ew 7 places 100/1 lads 6 places elsewhere.

 

 

Long Shot Friday

12 Friday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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1:50 Newmarket

I think Fantasy is a fast filly and this trip and ground will really suit her. She’s going to be very hard to knock out of the 4 places here.

2 Points EW 25/1 4 Places paddy/betfair

 

2:40 York

Nicholas T ran a whole lot better last time than the finishing position indicates. He was on the wrong side and just didn’t stay the extra furlong. This is his trip and he looks very solid to get involved here.

2 Points EW 4 places 18/1 365/paddy/betfair

Arc Day Longshots

07 Sunday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Arc 3:05
3Yo Fillies have a great record in this and I think there is a forgotten horse here in Magical. She looked very good winning in July in a race she had to win really but then had a long break like a lot of Aidan’s . She ran well behind Laurens in the Matron in a race that obviously worked out well. She’s sure to come on for that run and if she does she will be getting involved here at a huge price. Her very light season should be an advantage here and 50/1 is just huge.
2 Points EW 50/1 4 places paddy/betfair
Of the others in the Arc Study of Man may well improve here. He fought well to win the French Derby and this race could develop into a similar scrap. We have to forgive a poor run in the Irish Champion. 40/1 with 4 places look value.
1 Point EW 40/1 4 places Generally
I also don’t think it is out of the question that Tiberian can run a big race here at an outrageous price. He has some decent form in the past and has the look of one that could run well at a huge price. A tiny bet just in case
½ Point EW 200/1 4 places lads/vc/coral
4:25 Abbay

Finsbury Square is as good at 40/1 shot as you will see here. He ran really well in the Kings Stand to finish 4th, when no one ever really got to Battash or Blue Point. That form is easily in the top 4 here and this race is sure to have been his main target after Ascot. He’s 40/1 because of a below par run back from a break. He is at least twice the price he should be so a decent bet is required.
2 Points EW 40/1 4 places Paddy 33/1 4 places sky/hills

It is hard to fancy a horse that keeps finishing last but I think Declarationofpeace is going to do something soon . If he gets away here he could well finish strong which suits this race. 100/1 for a small bet is worth a shot
1 Point EW 100/1 4 places paddy/hills
3:50
Rhododendron is a certainty to run a much better race than her last few. She actually didn’t try a leg at all in the Irish Champion but today is probably her day. I actually think Magic Wand will be hard to beat here along with With You but 14/1 about last year’s winner looks decent value in what looks a 3 horse race to me.
1 Point win 14/1 Generally

5:00
So Beloved looks to have a bit of a squeak here on his best form. He ran well in this race last year to be 2nd albeit on a different course. There is a lot of overrated horses ahead of him in the betting here and he looks worth a small bet.
1 Point EW 4 places 66/1 Sky 66/1 3 places generally

Long shot Saturday

06 Saturday Oct 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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3:35 Ascot

George Bowen will get past plenty of these at the end , even at this trip .

1 point ew 40/1 5 places Vc/paddy/betfair

 

Long Shot Sunday

30 Sunday Sep 2018

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Naas 2:20

I’m Astonished that Servalan is available at 25/1 here. She looks the stable second choice but has some of the best form in the race and was eased off last time on ground that didn’t suit when her chance was gone. I’m never convinced that a stable knows its best 2yo in particular, and Selvalans early season form is good enough to get involved in the finished here.

2 Points EW 25/1 365/hills/VC 22/1 elsewhere

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