One More for Today

Epsom 3:10

I’ve dithered about looking at this race for a while but Gabrial looks the value here at 8/1. He has never looked like staying 10 furlongs and ran poorly last time out at Chester over that trip. His 2 previous runs put him right in the firing line here and i think that makes him a 5-6/1 shot here. The current price of 8/1 is certainly value

1 Point win 8/1 Generally

Since they are split over a few posts ill put all todays in 1 place Good luck to all

Epson Derby Saturday

I’m going to go for an early bet here. I think Wings of Eagles actually looked one of the best if Aiden’s in the trails and given that it was his first turn this year any normal improvement should put him in the picture. With 4 places on offer he looks value to place here.

1 Point EW 33/1  Places Bet365 28/1 4 Places Sky

NOW 40/1 4 places and 40/1 5 places with SKY, i wouldn’t let that put anyone off

3:15 Chantilly Prix Du Jockey Club

Predictably I’m going for Taj Mahal at a huge looking 66/1. His form is not a lot different to the runners in the Epson Derby and is a huge price here because he was a big disappointment in Gowran on soft ground. Im going to give him a small chance here at a silly price

1 Point ew 66/1 Generally

4:30 Derby

I think Douglas Macarthur represents the best EW value here after his win in the best trial for this race. I had another close look at that race this morning and there was no way anything was getting past him here, as he stuck his head down and out-battled 2 very decent stable companions for what was a gutsy win. A repeat of that here may well make it very difficult to knock him out of the places. 33/1 and 4 places is far too big

1.5 Points EW 33/1 4 places 365 /VC

5:50 Epsom

Ninjago was poor enough last time out but will probably prefer the quicker ground here. He needs a lot to go right to get there in the finish but he represents value here now at 16/1  of this mark. I think he’ll go close today as he looked to be building up a head of steam before his last run

2 Points win 16/1 hills/sporting/vc/365/stan/tote/betfair

7:20 Doncaster

Very short notice here but Burnt Sugar goes on softer ground and i think he will win soon enough of this mark. 14/1 looks value here

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

Epsom Dash Saturday 3:45

Move in time is a classy sprinter who didn’t finish of last season well and had a poor enough run first time out this year, but on his day he is well capable of getting involved here at a huge price. He looks to the drawn ok and 40/1 with 5 places is simply too big with Paddy Power

1 Point EW 40/1 5 Places Paddy Power

4:30 Epson Oaks

I think there is nothing between Alluringly and Enable on their Chester running when it looked to turn into a sprint at the end which won’t have suited the O’Brien horse. I’m fairly sure she can turn the tables on that horse here at 25/1 looks a fair few points too big, especially given the dominance of Aidan O’Brien fillies on the classics this year.

1 Point EW 25/1 Paddy/Betfair

3:10 Epson

Highland Reel is one of my favorite horses and he really should win this race but I can’t have any of the opponents here at the prices expect for a bit of value in US Army Ranger. I think he is comfortably the 2^nd best of Aidan’s horses as Idaho should be too slow for this. He really doesn’t look to put in 100% in most of his races but ran a great race in the derby last year and if he has Highland Reel to aim at here I think he could improve.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

Epson Derby Saturday

I’m going to go for an early bet here. I think Wings of Eagles actually looked one of the best if Aiden’s in the trails and given that it was his first turn this year any normal improvement should put him in the picture. With 4 places on offer he looks value to place here.

1 Point EW 33/1  Places Bet365 28/1 4 Places Sky

2017 Epsom Oaks

I’m going again for an Aidan O’Brien longshot here at a decent price. I think there is a very good chance that Rain Goddess is being underestimated here. She looks sure to improve for the step up in trip ran well 3 times this year improving all the time and has some classic form that a lot of those ahead of her don’t. He 5^th in the French 1000 caught the eye in that she stayed on at the end. I have a feeling she will go of at nearer 20/1 or shorter when the couple of these that won’t be running are taken out so now is the time to back her with NRNB

1 Point EW Ladbrokes 33/1 nrnb 33/1 hills/starts/sporting/betfair

NON-RUNNER NRNB

3:25 Curragh

Winter looks very hard to beat here but one thing I’ve learned is that you just can’t trust fillies at short prices in these races. I think Roly Poly is overpriced here to place. She ran a decent race in the French 1000 and a lot of those in front of her in the market have a hell of a lot to prove yet. She looks nothing more than a 2/1 shot to place here so the 20/1 EW is certainly value.

1 Point EW 20/1 ¼ Bet365

4:05 Haydock

Waady’s form at the beginning of last year was very good and although most of it was on softer ground he has also shown top class form on good-firm. He was 3^rd last year in a much stronger renewal of this race and that form alone may well be good enough here. He looks the most underestimated here and I have him more of a 7/1 shot than the 11/1 generally available

1 Point win 11/1 Generally

2:20 Haydock

Suegioo’s form in handicaps, when he does compete in them, is actually very strong of higher marks than this.  He ran well enough at Chester having been last most of the way. I think there is a great chance he can grind a win here. Parliamentarian is a possible improver and is actually the only one I’m worried about. 12/1 is about 4 points too big in my opinion

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

York 3:50

Watchable will probably try and blast out here and last home. He ran some eye-catching races in Mayden of higher marks and although he has had a typical lull after coming back I think he has a decent chance here of a great mark with a  7lbs claimer on.

1 Point win 28/1 vc/coral/black/betfair

Curragh 2:25

I’m going to follow Dinkum Diamond until he inevitably wins of this mark. He caught the eye last time, but im not sure about the jockey yet. He can certainly perform of this mark and we’ll be sticking with him as long as he is a decent price as he is a certainty to pop up at some stage this year.

1 Point win 25/1 vc/coral/boyles/black

Curragh 5:15

Felix Mendelsson sticks out here as a bit of value in this weak enough race. He is on a workable mark judging by his earlier form and if he is ready to go here he can’t be far away. 16/1 I much bigger than I would have expected.

1 Point win 16/1 Generally

4:55 Goodwood

Toofi ran a bit better than his placing suggested last time out when he looked to get bogged down in the ground and was on the wrong side.  I think he will go close today here with a decent draw and quicker ground. He is on a very nice mark here and his next 2-3 races might well be the time to be on him. 20/1 looks great value

2 Points win 20/1 Generally