Author Archives: longshotvalue

33/1 Winner Anteros for another big saturday

12 Saturday Nov 2016

Posted by in Saturday Selections

≈ Leave a comment

skysports-anteros-regulatory-finance_3829807.jpg

3:35 Cheltenham

Robin of Locksley sticks out a fair way here on both course form from his run last month and what looks a fair bit of potential. He looked a good prospect last year until a few runs on very soft ground didn’t suit him. It means he arrives here on a very low mark and judging by his run here last month he is well capable of winning of that mark.

10/1 looks a bit of value

1 Point win vc/lads/18

Backed into 11/2 for faded out

1:50

Unioniste’s form last Season isn’t as bad as it first appears. Only his run in the national was poor really and that can easily be ignored. He is on his lowest mark in a long time and the bit of rain this week will surly help his cause here. He has had a nice easy seasonal opener earlier and im pretty sure he will be ready to run today , despite his trainer thinking he is still poorly handicapped. 22/1 looks value on the win side.

1 Point win 22/1 Generally

Started to struggle after traveling well

2:25

My gut feeling here is More of That is the value of the race here at 5/1 as he is probably miles well in and  you have to think if thistlecrack was lining up here of this mark he’d be odds on. They actually have a similar level of form . There is a pretty huge negative in his last run and the fact that he hasn’t run this year but that is built into the price as he would be much shorter if it wasn’t for those points. Buywise is certainly overpriced on his course form and is a very strong favorite placed at least as far as i can see.He had a nice run over hurdles lately and will be fit for this. I have a suspicion that this years race is tougher than last years and he may have had his best chance last year when he just failed to get up. The other overprice horse i can see here in Ballynagor. This is his best trip and he is fit from 2 very good runs over the summer. Although he is s standout bet with Betvictor and 6 places at 50/1 i cant really put that up as a bet as they are the only one at that huge price with that offer and the extra 2 places are huge value there. Anyone with a VC account id be taking that bet for a small stake.

I’m going to go with 2 Points win More of That 5/1 365/paddy/stan/hills/betfair

1 Point EW Buywise 18/1 4 places tote/fred/365/hills

More of that was poor really. Buywise again ran a super race to be 3rd

3:00

Anteros has a very good Cheltenham record and was a bit of an eye catcher last time out traveling well then getting tired in a similar race to this. I think he will improve today and 33/1 is a very big price well worth a bet.

1 Point EW 33/1 Generally

Got a great ride wide, and won with a fair bit in hand for a big win