• 100/1 Real Longshots
  • 2015 Bets +320 Points +198 BSP
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  • 2013 Bets + 170 Points ADV + 122 BSP
  • Betting History Overall Total 840 Point Profit
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  • 2016 Bets +40.5 Advised
  • Cheltenham Festival Huge Priced winner’s since 2010
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  • 2023 Results 707.5 Points Profit 121 % ROI
  • 2022 Results 284 Point Profit 45.6% ROI
  • 2021 Results 250 Point Profit 30.8 % ROI
  • 2020 Results 193 Points Profit 37.9% ROI
  • 2019 50 Point loss ROI 13% loss
  • 2018 Results 18.5Points Profit 3.44% Roi
  • 2024 So Far 153.4 Profit on 628.75 invested ROI 26%
  • Cheltenham last 6 years Results

LongshotValue

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Author Archives: longshotvalue

Friday Report

10 Friday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ Leave a comment

Yurituni just missed out getting collared by a well handicapped progressive horse to finish a good second. Fillionaire was a disappointment again, and Swiss Cross was well backed but faded in the finish.

 

For our following Able Master Page, He won again today at 10/1 bringing that page up to 15 points profit from 5 bets, and I think that tread can be closed now as itll be difficult to increase the profit. Ill be on the lookout for another sprinter to follow.

Long Shot Friday

09 Thursday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ 2 Comments

20:00 Haydock

If Fillionaire’s last poor run can be ignored, over what was probably too fast a race over 7 furlongs on fast ground, she could have a chance here of a nice looking mark of 85. She was a very respectable 5th in a listed 8 Furlong contest against much higher rated horses 2 runs a go, and also a decent run midfield in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot, when of a 8lbs higher mark. She has been a disappointment this year after being a decent looking 2yo, but she may have found her level here and looks a decent price at 20/1 in most places

1 Point win 20/1 Generally

20:20 Newmarket

Swiss Cross ran a decent enough race in the steward’s cup when showing up well until a bit short of room in the last furlong. 3 runs ago he ran a particularly good race to be second in a very similar race as this at Epson, and with the 5lbs claimer on tomorrow looks a bit underestimated here down in class from his last 2 runs. He looks to me to have as good a chance as a lot of the favoured horses here and 16/1 generally available looks value.

1 Point win 16/1 Generally

3:40 Brighton

Yurituni has a course and distance win here last year and had been running ok of higher marks earlier this season, until meeting probably unsuitably softer ground on her last 2 runs. She is back here of that last winning mark albeit in a tougher race and looks a small bit of value at 20/1.

1 Point win 20/1 Bet365 & Betfair

Thursday 7:30 Leopardstown

09 Thursday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ 2 Comments

7:30 Leopardstown

The market here just looks wrong at the moment. I’m not sure how Galileo’s Choice is Favourite on what form he has in the book. Treasure Beach would clearly not need to be near his best to win this , but better value may be the progressive Light Heavy. He had 3 good early season wins before getting stuck in the Mud behind Camelot in the Irish Derby. He looks to me most likely of the other horses in this field to improve and 11/2 looks a bit of value.

1 Point win 11/2 Light Heavy Stan James

Tuesday 7:35 Ripon

07 Tuesday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ 2 Comments

7:35 Ripon

Unfortunately while waiting for the price to go out on my original selection here Fitz Flyer (I fancied a bit of 14), I was Taylor’d and he is now into 13/2 and that is about the right price. He still looks the most likely winner, but I’ve also been looking at Perfect Blossom. She has had very little racing over the last year or 2 but did show plenty of speed on her first start this year in a hot 5f race at York, when travelling well until the last furlong when she weakened understandably. If she can improve at all from that run and strip fitter today, although it is 2 months since she ran, she might be able to get involved at a huge price today. I’ll have a min bet just in case.

½ Point win ½ Point Place Betfair 65/16

Monday Report

06 Monday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Doctor Parkes was a non runner, and Demolition ran a great race to be 2nd so we were on the right track for value, if not collecting…

Monday 15:15 Ripon

06 Monday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ 4 Comments

Demolition has been dropped 5lbs for his last run at Newmarket, which in my view wasn’t that bad. The race got away from him and he could never bridge the gap on the good-firm ground in a better race than todays.  He has won late last year of 5ls higher and he may be getting back to some kind of form judging by that run. This run is a drop from class 3 to class 4 and although he may be against a well handicapped horse in the fav here his current price on Betfair of 15 is certainly value. I would expect him to go off at around 8/1

1Point win Betfair 15.0

Monday 15:45 Ripon

05 Sunday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Doctor Parkes takes a bit of a step down in class here from some reasonable performances in stronger races this year. This has the looks of a weak enough Class 3 Handicap and any reproduction of either of his first 2 runs this year in class 2 handicaps could easily be enough here. He is down a few pounds and is back to near his last winning mark. He is currently 17 on Betfair and that is defiantly value.

1 Point win 17 Betfair.

Sunday Report Part 2

05 Sunday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Rowe Park belied his silly betfair odds available at the time of posting by just about winning , to make it a very nice profitable day…Image

Newbury 4:55

05 Sunday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

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Rowe Park, is a higher price than I anticipated on Betfair in this race. I selected him EW in his last run and he had a superb race finishing 3rd in what was a similar race. He was a much better horse a few years ago but that last run looks to be the start of an upward curve.  19 is easily worth a bet

1 Point win 19 Betfair

Sunday Report

05 Sunday Aug 2012

Posted by longshotvalue in Saturday Selections

≈ Leave a comment

Unfortunately Chester is abandoned and Free World was a non-runner, so only 1 runner today. Marchard D’or ran to free early and was never involved.

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