York Ebor Early Bet

Trainer is top form Check

Jockey with great Strike Rate for trainer Check

Course Form Check

First run in a Handicap, with Group Class form.

What Price —— 50/1

All Aboard The Scotland Train

2 Points EW 50/1 365 Scotland 40/1 elsewhere

3:00

Mythical Madness seems a huge price fir a horse is good form . He may have won at goodwood with average luck . 66/1 is at least twice the price I’d expect .

2 points ew 5 places 66/1

York 3:00
I’m a big fan of The Pentagon, and may yet add a bet on him but I think the clear value here is Nelson at a huge price. He has a 5 lbs pull with Kew Gardens and on looking at both his last 2 races I think if he doesn’t go too mad in front he may be difficult for many of these to pass. Kew Gardens looks to be better over further, taking along time to get going. The Fav looks solid enough but really has only 1 top class run and is far too short. Zabriskie could be dangerous enough in this to run on into a place as well
2 Points EW 40/1 Paddy/Betfair

 

York 1:55

Watchable has run well here before, is on a decent mark and has a 5lbs claimer up with a very good record for the trainer. 28/1 looks value

1 Point EW 28/1 5 places paddy/betf/188/vc

Ripon 3:15

Its rare that I tip the fav in a big field handicap but i think if this race is run 8 times Growl wins any time he gets a clear run, which might be 2 out of 8 making the 8/1 Value. He’s easily the best horse in the race in great form .

2 Points win 8/1 hill/cor/boy

Its no harm to have one on each side here and Aeolus has gone out to an interesting price. He has 2 poor runs to forgive but can get involved of his mark and his record in handicaps is decent.

1 pt ew 33/1 5 places paddy/betfair 6 places sky

Ripon 2:05

Waiting for a bigger price dint work, Boundsy has been cut a few points. Still i think he could well turn things around today. 2 of his recent runs have been poorly drawn at Chester, and with a good claimer up of a very good mark hell improve today for sure.

1 Pt win 22/1

2:25 New

Perfect Clarity ran well in a very good Ribblesdale when coming from too far back .She looks a stayer and on pure ratings she is one of the more likely winners here. 12/1 is too big.

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

3:00 New

De Bruyne Horse is taking a big step down in class here. His 2nd last run at Meyden was actually very decent when he didn’t stay a mile and this should me more his type of race. He was poor last time but Mayden headache is common.

1 Point EW 50/1 5 places paddy/betfair

‪Deauville 3:20‬

‪Romanised looks value to run a big race here and is certainly a value price . He will be more suited by this ground and course and 11/1 without fav along with 22/1 is worth a shot .‬

‪1/2 point win 22/1‬
‪1 point 11/1 w/o fav 365 / sky ‬

Ascot 1:05

I’m Fairly convinced that Tis Marvellous is the best horse in this race a the most likely winner so the 15/2 available in this field looks great value. He is the only one here that could well be a Group horse.

2 Points win 15/2

3:50 ponte

Grandee ran well last time when very few really got into it from the back . This is a weaker race ad he is down a few more lbs .

1/2 point win 18/1

1 point win w/o fav 8/1 365/paddy

Deauville 2:15

Librisa Breeze is certainly overpriced here at 28/1. The ground here should be suitable for him and the slight step up on trip and large field should play into his hands.

2 Points EW 4 places 28/1 Paddy/betfair

Actress is a horse that i think can run a big race in one of these sprints, and now is as good a time as any.

1 Points EW 80/1 4 place hills/paddy/betfair

7:40 

I cant resist a bet on huge outsider Treasure Chest here. He stuck his head down to win a decent race over hurdles lately and has run well here before. He tends to travel prominently which is an advantage here.

1 Pt ew 5 place 50/1 pp/betfair/vc/sky

Galway Plate
Lord Scoundrel is a bet in waiting for me for a long time now. He was one of my main hopes for Cheltenham but then didn’t run. He caught my eye behind Bellshill at Fairyhouse, and then clearly didn’t stay in the silly ground at the Irish National. He arrives here to the scene of his biggest win in this race 2 years ago, on a 1 pound lower mark. What really sticks out though is his run last year in what looks much better race. He was getting ready to challenge but got almost brought down at the second last and ended up finishing 8th, behind a couple of Grade 1 horses, after he ran wide all the way and was on a 12lbs higher mark. I don’t really see anything in this race that could end up winning grade 1s on a decent mark (Saturnes, Sub Lieutenant & Don’t Touch It seem the dangers). He has had a break and then a nice looking run over hurdles lately, surely with this race in mind. To my eye he looks one of the more likely winners, and I think he will go off about 12/1. 33/1 Ante Post is of course risky but he is surly going to go here with his history in the race.
3 Points EW 33/1 Generally