Long Shot Saturday

1:50 Goodwood

If you look at the races Dark Shot gets cover and the ones he doesn’t, there is a huge difference. He got none here during the week again and ran poorly. He’ll certainly get it here and look sure to get involved in the finish.

2 Points EW 7 places 20/1 sky 6places paddy/betfair

2:25 Goodwood

What a Welcome, seemed to do too much early last time out and can be forgiven. If he can get back to the form of his run here earlier this year, he’ll be involve in the finish here. He’s on a workable mark compared to the fav.

1 Point EW 4 places 25/1 Gen

3:40 Goodwood

George Bowen has been the only horse on my mind or this for a while, and I was hoping for a big price. He has been good this year, but has excuses for his last few poor runs, which have him now on the right mark.

2 Points EW 33/1 7 places Sky 6places paddy Lads

2:30 Galway

Mitchouka, showed a return to form on his second last run and I wonder will he be suited by this step up in trip given his good 4yo form on soft ground. He’s on a nice mark with a 7lbs claimer on, in a relatively poor race for the money.

1 Point EW 33/1 5 places paddy/vc/sky

3:40 Goodwood

I’ve been looking for a low drawn horse, and I’m going to go with Hyperfocus. He is an all or nothing performer but has won of this mark is drawn 2. He has been gradually improving lately, and 100/1 is the price I was looking for

1 Point EW 100/1 7 places sky, 6 places else

Long shot Friday

Good wood 3:00

Well Drawn, course form . Big price . Has to be backed here . Chance if he can get over standard meydan headache . 

1 pt ew Original Choice 50/1 5 places

 

3:35

There isn’t a lot between any of these after the fav and Ornate will be suited by the fast track here . 

1 pt ew 50/1 gen

 

Galway 5:10

Can’t resist Orgilgo Bay . Back from a very long break with some flat runs . On a good mark in a race he has form  .

1 pt ew 50/1 5 places (extra place special) 365 4 places elsewhere

Wednesday Longshot

3:35 Goodwood

Its yet to be proven that the current 3yo’s are anything but ordinary, so given that the older milers form keeps getting strengthened this year , we’ll have to go for the value options here.  Accidental Agent is near the best of these on his day. If his head is right today he can get involved at a huge price. Similarly I Can Fly has a big race in her at some stage .

1 Point EW 50/1 Accidental Paddy

1 Point EW I Can Fly 40/1 Paddy

7:20 Galway

I’ve only had 1 horse in mind for this since I saw the entry. Coney Island is the class horse in the race, of what look a good mark. Once more over the cliff

2 Points win 14/1 paddy/betfair/vc

Good1:50

Fun Mac looks sure to go close here . Worst phrase in racing is ew bet to nothing , that might apply to him . I’ll still go win though .

1 point win 12/1 gen

 

Long Shot Saturday

2:25

Jukebox Jive has been improving this year, has form around here on soft . His mark should put him close enough here at this trip .

1 point ew 50/1 5 places hills, sky, coral

 

3:00

Not a long shot but The Tin Man is a long way clear of these, goes on soft and really should be shorter than 2/1 .

2 points win 2/1 gen

 

3:40

Clay Regazzoni ran better at Royal Ascot than his placing indicates , having no cover all the way and travelled well. This trip and race should suit him . This is a much weaker race 

1 pt ew 40/1 5 places 365

Curragh 3:25

Ardhoomey cant be too far away here, in what looks a poor enough renewal and of a good mark compared to last year . 

1 point ew 20/1 5 places sky/paddy

Market 2:10

Going to have a small win bet on John Constable here . He never got into it last time , but came back to life the time before . 16/1 is enough to be sorry not to be on if he gets back to form.

 1 point win 16/1 gen

Long Shot Saturday

4:00 Ascot

Accidental Agent is the best of these on his best form and if we can get over his stall stand in the Queen Anne , he is the most likely winner here. The 3 lbs he is getting from Beat the Bank should be enough and 7/1 is value.

2 Points win 7/1 Gen

York 3:50

Another Touch ran well in this last year of a higher mark and although it’s hard to know what to make of the fact that it’s his first run. 40/1 is value.

1 point ew 40/1 5 place hill/bvic

Newmarket 4:40

So Perfect is one of my horses to follow this year. I think this 6 furlongs with an uphill finish and fast ground is her ideal conditions. She gets all the allowances here and i think she will run a  big race.

2 Points EW 33/1 4 places Paddy Power

Ascot 1:45

This type of madness suits Blue De Vega perfectly judging by his Dash run. He has form here and we can write of his last 2 runs which get him here on a very nice mark.

1 Point EW 20/1 5 Places Gen

Newmarket 3:30

Good Effort was poor in Meydan but that is often the case and he has taken a while to come to hand since. The trainer knows how to get one ready for these races, and some of his form last year puts him on a decent mark.

1 Point EW 33/1 5place gen