Long Shot Saturday

Down Royal 5:45

Utah is a horse I noticed running better here 2 runs ago than his finish indicated. He is of a nice mark with a step up in trip and Colin Keane booked. 40/1 with 4 places is well worth a bet

1 Point EW 40/1 4 places lads/hills

Sandown 1:50

Gracious John, returned to form last time considering he was way too far back half way through he race. He is on a great mark with a good 7lbs claimer on. There is a decent chance he’ll bounce back for Ian Williams.

2 Points win 14/1 365/betfair/paddy

York Day 1

3:00 York

Norway hasn’t often been ridden with winning in mind, but still has bags of potential. There isn’t a lot between any of these and he has the best form in the book. 14/1 in a 5 horse race is madness

2 Points win 14/1 Generally.

3:35 York

Circus Maximus comes out 2nd best of these on ratings and he is a tough as it gets. I think he can out battle everything else maybe bar the fav here and 6/1 w/o the fav  is possibly twice he’s real price here, and in fact he may well go off at  that price to win.

3 Points win 6/1 w/o fav 365 and others.

1:55 York
Foolad has some very good course form and is back to a workable mark here.
 
1Point EW 6 place 33/1 paddy 40/1 5 places elsewhere
 
4:15
Clever Cookie, has some decent form first time out, and altough he isnt getting any younger he has been given a change by the handicapper if he is on a going day
.
1 Point EW 5 polace 66/1 Paddy/betfair/unibet

Long shot Saturday

3:15 Ripon
Lancelot Du Loc, showed a bit last week and I got a nice surprise when I had a look at his form on soft ground. He is certainly a lot better. His draw should be fine .
2 Points EW 6 places Paddy/hills

 

 

3:35 Newbury

Librisa Breeze , is actually the best of these on his best form and has a good record fresh and likes soft ground. Not much more reason needed to have a go at a huge price.

1 Point win 22/1 generally

2:05 Ripon

Orions Bow is a cliff horse for many, but thankfully I haven’t wasted too many bets on him before this. If he puts in in he may have a shout here, and when I go through the field a I can’t see any of them winning.

1 Point ew 33/1 5 places.

Long Shot Saturday

1:50 Goodwood

If you look at the races Dark Shot gets cover and the ones he doesn’t, there is a huge difference. He got none here during the week again and ran poorly. He’ll certainly get it here and look sure to get involved in the finish.

2 Points EW 7 places 20/1 sky 6places paddy/betfair

2:25 Goodwood

What a Welcome, seemed to do too much early last time out and can be forgiven. If he can get back to the form of his run here earlier this year, he’ll be involve in the finish here. He’s on a workable mark compared to the fav.

1 Point EW 4 places 25/1 Gen

3:40 Goodwood

George Bowen has been the only horse on my mind or this for a while, and I was hoping for a big price. He has been good this year, but has excuses for his last few poor runs, which have him now on the right mark.

2 Points EW 33/1 7 places Sky 6places paddy Lads

2:30 Galway

Mitchouka, showed a return to form on his second last run and I wonder will he be suited by this step up in trip given his good 4yo form on soft ground. He’s on a nice mark with a 7lbs claimer on, in a relatively poor race for the money.

1 Point EW 33/1 5 places paddy/vc/sky

3:40 Goodwood

I’ve been looking for a low drawn horse, and I’m going to go with Hyperfocus. He is an all or nothing performer but has won of this mark is drawn 2. He has been gradually improving lately, and 100/1 is the price I was looking for

1 Point EW 100/1 7 places sky, 6 places else

Long shot Friday

Good wood 3:00

Well Drawn, course form . Big price . Has to be backed here . Chance if he can get over standard meydan headache . 

1 pt ew Original Choice 50/1 5 places

 

3:35

There isn’t a lot between any of these after the fav and Ornate will be suited by the fast track here . 

1 pt ew 50/1 gen

 

Galway 5:10

Can’t resist Orgilgo Bay . Back from a very long break with some flat runs . On a good mark in a race he has form  .

1 pt ew 50/1 5 places (extra place special) 365 4 places elsewhere

Wednesday Longshot

3:35 Goodwood

Its yet to be proven that the current 3yo’s are anything but ordinary, so given that the older milers form keeps getting strengthened this year , we’ll have to go for the value options here.  Accidental Agent is near the best of these on his day. If his head is right today he can get involved at a huge price. Similarly I Can Fly has a big race in her at some stage .

1 Point EW 50/1 Accidental Paddy

1 Point EW I Can Fly 40/1 Paddy

7:20 Galway

I’ve only had 1 horse in mind for this since I saw the entry. Coney Island is the class horse in the race, of what look a good mark. Once more over the cliff

2 Points win 14/1 paddy/betfair/vc

Good1:50

Fun Mac looks sure to go close here . Worst phrase in racing is ew bet to nothing , that might apply to him . I’ll still go win though .

1 point win 12/1 gen