Time to put it up for value there now.

1 Point EW 33/1 Paddy Power Barizan Haydock Swinton Hurdle Antepost

Its being backed in other bookies, so this price wont last.

Won this 2 years ago and was second last year, once the ground isn’t a bog he’ll have a great chance.

3:10 Chester Cup

This looks a tough race which is to be expected. I’m going to have to with a bit of a no no here in that my selection Mubaraza is drawn wide. In reality that shouldn’t make much of a difference here once he can get some kind of position early. He really was good at the start of last year and showed signs of a return to form on his seasonal reappearance this year as well.  He was 4^th in this last year of the same mark and I feel he can bridge the gap here with some of those ahead of him a lot higher in the weights.  14/1 looks the best value on offer at the moment.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally.

Kempton 3:10

Vino Greigo has been one I’ve been expecting to do something this year but luckily I’ve steered clear most of the time as he hasn’t really done anything of note since a half reasonable seasonal opener. I think today’s race may suit him and the drop in class is badly needed. One of my other cliff horses Champion Court could be dangerous but the step up in trip hasn’t worked in the past. 11/1 about Vino looks worth a bet in this race, as although he stopped last time out in a better race he did travel well for a lot of the way and may be able to extend that today.

1 Point win 11/1 Generally.

3:45 Kempton

A Cor Et A Cri has French form that would make this race of this mark a complete forgone conclusion. He was 4^th behind Aux Ptits Soins & Arbre De Vie. The step up in trip will more than likely suit and basically I’m just going to take a gamble that he will be backed today and if so the current 10/1 will look value. He was very poor on his British debut, but it may be significant that he hasn’t been put away for the season yet.

1 Point win 10/1 Various

Newmarket 3:00

Stakes will be low in these print handicaps this year but I’ll still have to put up a few at huge prices in case of the bomb dropping at some stage.

Swiss Cross looks to be improving again after a decent run last time and is down to his last winning mark. That win has worked out well and shows he is capable of running a big race in a big handicap at some stage soon. 50/1 with 5 places on Bet365 is worth a small gamble.

½ Point EW 50/1 5 places Bet365

Goodwood 2:50

Most of Pastoral Players decent runs over the last few years have been first time out and if he is ever going to repay a bit of faith today is the day.  12/1 isn’t exactly knocking my socks off for huge value but there is still a bit of margin in it, so I’ll go for him today. If he can’t have a decent shout today of this mark with a 7lbs claimer on, he may never.

1 Point win 12/1 Generally

Punchestown 3:10

Cross Appeal is one I’ve tried before without success but he appeals here at a big price on his first run back from a break. He actually has a very decent record fresh and a couple of his last few runs give him a definite chance here of this mark. I’ll go for the extra place here with bet365 as 25/1 with those terms looks the best value

1 Point EW 25/1 Bet365 5 places

Punchestown 3:50

Analifet looks a bit underestimated here in the w/o Annie market. She is an improving horse with 2 very good runs lately. I think there is nothing between her and Katie T, but the selection is 7/2 and Katie T is odds on. I would have them more or less the same so that kind of margin can’t be ignored. I also think coming second may suite her rather than actually having to try and get her head in front

2 Points Win 7/2 W/O Annie Power Betfair/Will Hill

Punchestown 5:00

Aupcharlie has flattered to deceive a few times as he generally travels well in his races. I think he needs this step up in trip and in fact had some very decent novice performance’s over this trip. He is down to a workable mark with a 5lbs claimer on today and that should bring him right into the action here. 25/1 looks a bit generous because he isn’t the stable choice but that wouldn’t really effect his chances much as both have solid chances in my mind.

1 Point EW 25/1 Generally

Decent placer at 33/1 and a very unlucky fall when going well made for a frustrating enough break even day yesterday.

4:20 Punchestown

I’m fairly confident that Blood Cotil is well handicapped here. He should be better over this trip than the 2 miles he has been running well at this year, and his form is littered with very high standard novice form. Ruby must think the top weight is some horse to be able to give the selection 10 lbs but I’m hopeful he is wrong here. He was backed into an outrageous price in the Grand Annual, but hit a fence early and never recovered, so he must be doing something right at home. 14/1 looks huge even in this race.

2 Points win 14/1 Generally.

7:45 Punchestown

I can’t understand how Noble Prince is 20/1 in this hunter chase. I realise he is an unlikely winner as the fav really is in the form of his life but there won’t be much between him and the likes of Pearlysteps and Vital Plot who are both shorter in the market. He used to like decent ground and was the highest rated of these. I recon he is about evens to place here.

1 Point EW 20/1 Bet365 & Boyles

4:15 Punchestown

Dick Dundee ran a great race in the best 2 mile handicap of the year at Cheltenham and having just faded out of it in the end he may be suited to this race on slightly better ground with an easier finish. He is no 25/1 shot given he is a couple of pounds down and with a decent 5lbs claimer on this time. He possibly went after the winner a bit early that time and with a bit more restraint this time he should be in the firing line

1 Point EW 25/1 Bet365/Stan James

5:30 Punchestown

This race is littered with possible non stayers and if Thousand Stars is fitter this time after his very good return last time out he is no 14/1 shot. Not much explanation needed he is well capable of outrunning 14/1.

1 Point win 14/1 Generally

6:05 Punchestown

Black Benny was poor enough last time after a break, but has been an improving chaser of late. He has a very attractive hurdles mark in comparison and has in the past a few very decent hurdles runs of higher marks that this. He has been given a small break again here and of a career low mark he should be able to get involved in this at a huge 33/1

1 Point EW 33/1 Lads/Stan James

3:40 Punchestown

Battling Boru has been very consistent in this type of race for a while now and although this is a step down in trip it may suit judging by his last run. He looks to have a very high chance of placing of a decent mark with a 5lbs claimer on today at a huge 33/1 with 5 places .

1 Point ew 33/1 5 places Bet365

6:05 Punchestown

There isn’t a lot between most of these that ran in the Festival bumper apart from Modus and its clear to me that the value might be Bay of Freedom at the prices. 66 or 50/1 is too big for a couple of lengths difference between this and many of the others . He looks an EW bet worth chancing and I’ll go with the 50/1 and 4 places on paddy power for a small bet.

1 Point ew 50/1 Paddy Power 50/1 4 Places

6:40 Punchestown

This race looks ideal for You must Know Me , he had had a very light season and came good at this time last year with a  very good run in the Topham at Aintree. For some reason he is 4lbs lower here after mostly very decent runs since and I don’t think he will be far away here. He looks more of an 8/1 shot to me and 12/1 is great value

2 Point win 12/1 Various

Irish Handicaps aren’t really my thing, in fact Irish Racing in general is a losing proposition, but it would be no fun to not put anything up so here goes.

4:55

Indian Icon had his first decent run in a while last time out and finished a decent 7^th in a similar race to this but on soft ground which won’t have suited him judging by his best form as a 4yo. The stable are getting into form as well and if he can improve on his 7^th last time he looks very decent value off a lower mark on decent ground with 5 places EW.

1 Point EW 33/1 PaddyPower 5 places

5:30

This is a strange race with all sorts of out of form and horses that won’t be suited by the ground etc.  The favourite is purely a Cheltenham horse for me and I’m going to go down the betting for a bit of value in Flemenstar. His front running style may be suited to this race and if he is fitter than his last run , which was his first for a long time I would expect him to be competitive here. I had a price in my head of 14/1 or bigger so the 20/1 with boyles is well worth the risk.

1 Point win 20/1 Boyles

6:40

Opposing Don Poli feels like setting fire to money but he is very short here and I strongly feel that Wounded Warrior is the 2^nd best horse in this race over this trip. He let Don Poli away from him in the RSA about 3 out but really finished the race well and his overall form looks to me to be stronger than the other 2 for this race. 12/1 looks a big price In case anything happens the fav here.

1 Point win Wounded Warrior 12/1 Generally

Bet365 Gold Cup

This race looks to have a lot of runners with question marks, and that said I’m going to go for the biggest question mark of all. Bobs Worth could well have his perfect race here over this trip on good ground.  I honestly don’t think he would be running if they didn’t feel he can improve on this season’s performances. He has been put in this with a great chance of 159 and I’m willing to take a chance at 12/1. This mark looks silly when you look at the form of the horses on the same weight.

2 Points win 12/1 Various

The other I’m going for here is Grandads Horse right at the other end of the market. He can perform of this mark and I think he looks better on good ground.  We really need to forgive him his last pulled up on a bog at Haydock for him to have any chance, but aside from that run he has had a very good season and might just enjoy  this spin around of a very light weight. I think he is great value to be placed at least here at 40/1 given his fairly consistent profile.

1 Point ew 40/1 5 places bet365/Paddy Power

Sandown 2:00

I’ve a sneaky feeling that Mercoeur hasn’t showed his full hand yet. He came back after a break to be second lately and he may well be better on good ground as his best performance yet on 2^nd on good ground to a very decent yardstick. First time blinkers as well here all points to today being the day, and he is in here of a very light weight. 14/1 with Ladbrokes looks value.

1 Point win 14/1 Ladbrokes

Sandown 4:25

Clondaw Kaempfer came into form fairly suddenly at the end of last year of a couple of pounds higher than this mark and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he did the same again here in a similar race. The stable has started to find a bit of form (not shooting the lights out but an improvement all the same). 33/1 is too big to ignore.

1 Point EW 33/1 365/888/32red

Ripon 3:25

Arnold Lane looks to have been underestimated after a half decent return. If he should strip fitter here he looks well overpriced at 22/1 on Skybet. He is down to a workable mark after a long time probably too high. He should be winning soon enough.

1 Point win 22/1 Skybet

Haydock 3:30

Emell has proved a shock at a huge price before and it may be dangerous to let him off here at 25/1. The handicapper has relented somewhat and given his patchy profile it easy enough to ignore the Lincoln run. I think he is worth a risk at 25/1 In case he decided to put It in here.

1 Point win 25/1 Sky/365