I’m going with a gut feeling that when Harrison’s Cave was a very good staying on 3rd at Ascot in the Duke of Edinburgh they decided to have him ready for a cut at this race. He was very poor next time but I would ignore that if today is that plan. He looked at Ascot as if he can handle this mark and will certainly improve for the step up in trip. 22 on Betfair is what I’ll go for.
I will also go for Blue Bajan EW, as he had a very decent return to handicapping over c&d last run and with the extra 2lbs he is down from that run I think he has a superb chance of placing here at a huge price. He has been contesting group races for a long time now and should relish the drop in class and with a nice lightweight
1 Point win Harrison’s Cave 22 Betfair
1pt EW 5 Places Blue Bajan 33/1 Paddy Power
Gatepost is handicapped to get pretty close to the Fav here Fullbright on his 2 runs lately at Newmarket behind him. The step up in trip to 7 from 6 after a failed attempt at 8 should be ideal and he could still have some improvement in him as he’s only 3 and looked a very good 2yo. 30 on Betfair looks too big and worth a small bet
A repeat of Mabait’s last run against the fav again over 8 Furlongs here was a good return to form and he can go close again here at a huge looking 38 on Betfair. The step back might not be ideal but he’s is worth the risk at that price.
1 Point win 1 Point Place Gatepost Betfair 30 / 6.6
1 Point win 1 Point Place Mabait Betfair 38 / 6.6