I’m going to go with 2 horses in this at a decent price, that have potential that hasn’t been filled yet and haven’t had a lot of racing this year, which can be an advantage at this time of the season. Pekan Star looked like a possible Group Horse winning a very good 3yo handicap a couple of years ago. He has been a bit disappointing since then, but after not looking right on his seasonal debut this year has had a decent break and a blow out as pacemaker a month ago. He is down to a mark he can hopefully be competitive off and the odds of him fulfilling some of his potential are a lot better than his current Betfair price of 48 which looks a nice bit of value. The other selection ill make is Fulgar who although was poor last week over too long a trip, looks to be on a nice mark back in trip. It seems significant that he is out again in 7 days from his last run, after being missing most of this year. He is 19 on Betfair at the moment and that looks worth a small bet.
Pekan Star 1 Pt Win Betfair 46 – Confidence Factor 1/5
Fulgar 1 pt win Betfair 19 – Confidence Factor 2/5
All of Catfish’s form is on Good-Firm ground over 5 furlongs, and she is back to near her mark at the start of this year when she ran 2 superb races in those condition’s. Since then she has been disappointing over 6 furlongs twice on slightly softer ground and I think back to her best trip and ground tomorrow she could have a very decent shot at returning to form at a big looking 14/1.
2 Points win 14/1 in a few places incl Paddy Power – Confidence Factor 3/5
Grissom is one ive selected a few times lately. Despite have a few zeros after his name in his last few runs, I think he has shaped well in very good races without getting the breaks required in running. He is back here on a mark just 2 lbs higher than a very good c&d performance in May behind Pintura and also his win in the Scottish Stewards Cup. He has a nice inside draw and hasn’t always tried to come from miles of the pace like he has done lately. I wouldn’t be surprised if he was up in the van most of the way round here and he looks value to repay a bit of faith at 20/1 currently on Betfair
1 Point win 21 Betfair – Confidence Factor 2/5
Head Space has been running well this year with 2 wins. He has been very popular in most of his runs and too low a price to select most of the time. But he was poor enough last time, mostly because he didn’t get room at the critical time and was eased towards the finish at Ripon. He is a few pounds below some of those good runs and with a 3lbs claimer on he should have a decent shout in this race, although as usual in Chester he will need a bit of luck given his running style. He is worth the risk at 28 on Betfair.
1 Point win 28 Betfair Confidence Factor 1/5