Betfred Cesarewitch 3:35 Newmarket
Early bet for tomorrow, Ashbrittle is way overpriced in this at 85 win and 13.5 place on betfair. He ran an eye-catching race at Ascot in the Ascot Stakes when travelling well only to get badly bumped 2 Furlongs. He ran on again at the finish to be 7th and a repeat of that run along with a 2lbs lower mark and a good 3lbs claimer on is going to make this price looks silly hopefully.
1/2 Point win 1/2 Point Place Betfair 85/13.5
I’m also going for Blue Bajan at a big looking 40/1 EW 5 places with Bet365. This is the first time this year he is running over an extended trip, which is what he needs and he has looked decent in his last few runs without getting any luck in running. He should be able to perform of this mark and could well be staying on past a good few of these at the end.
1 Point EW 40/1 Bet365 5 Places
I’m going to add a small EW on last year’s second Ermyn Lodge , he has obviously been trained with this race in mind all year, and hasn’t really done anything in 2 unsuitable races but he is only lbs higher than last year and a repeat of that form would give him a great chance of placing at 40/1.
½ Point EW 40/1 Bet365 5 Places
York 3:45 Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap
A straightforward selection here in Mirza who looks certain to go as well as anything on the ground and looked to me to be coming back to form last time out. He has plenty of very good form this season and although there was a blip in the middle with a few poor performances’ hopefully his latest run shows he is back on the upgrade. He is dropped into a handicap here of what looks a workable mark and he is a fair bit higher than i was expecting at 23 on betfair
2 Points win 23 Betfair
2:20 Newmarket Middle Park Stakes
I’m going to go with one of Aidan O’Briens 2 outsiders here in Parliament Square, his run in the Prix Morney behind the fav here was eye-catching in that he was closing fast in the end and Reckless Abandonhad got first run. The price difference is way too much to ignore here and 20/1 is certainly value
1 Point win 20/1 various
Mostly Bob is certain to stay what will be a real slog here and although he hasn’t exactly been as good as he looked in his early years, he has a nice racing weight here and look a really huge price on betfair at 46.
½ Point win Betfair 46
I’m going to Moorhouse Ladin this at a big price for a small bet in the hopes he can get back to some form. I tough his last run was reasonable enough when probably on the wrong side and he will be a lot fresher than most of these having had only 2 runs this year. He had a poor year last year but ran a decent race towards then end of the season on softer ground at Espon, and I’m hopeful he can do the same today.
½ Point win 25/1 Various