Coral Welsh National 3:20
I don’t think there is a lot between the favourite here Teaforthree and Sol on their running in the Hennessy. If anything I think this race will suit Sol better as it should be a slower race and although he looked a bit one paced at the end of the Hennessey he did travel as well as anything, until the pace quickened. This race is nowhere near as good and I don’t think he should be 4 times the price of the fav here for what were a few lengths. He is still a young horse with little enough racing and hopefully he has enough improvement in him to build on that decent showing in the Hennessey to have a decent shout here. 15.5 on Betfair looks a few points too big and I’ll go for a 2 point win bet
2 Points win 15.5 Betfair
I’m going for 2 min bets on outsiders here, in Take The Breeze and The Sawyer. Although they haven’t been in form of late they are well treated and this race could easily throw up a surprise in the conditions. The Sawyer in particular ran really well of much higher marks only last season, and if he has come on for his first run he might be difficult to pass here. I’m going to take advantage of decent looking prices on Betfair .
½ Point win Take The Breeze 26 – ½ Point win The Sawyer 30
Urgence D’estruval looks easily the most interesting here at the prices. He has some very decent form in France on Soft ground and apart from his last run there could well be up to this mark. This looks a weak enough Saturday handicap and a very decent opportunity. I think he is more of a 7/1 shot so the 11/1 currently on offer has to be taken.
1 Point win 11/1 Bet Victor & Sportingbet
I’m going to go again here with 2 big outsiders that have a decent chance here. Hey Big Spender has proven form of this mark has won ½ his chase races. He also has won a few similar races of top weight like he has today. He’s worth a small risk at 17.5 on Betfair. The Same can be said of Tartak except that he has run well twice already this year and has come down what looks a generous few pounds to put him in with a decent shot here at a big looking 17.5 also on Betfair
½ Point win Both at 17.5 on Betfair