Im going to stick with last weeks bet on Barren Broke at 25/1 with Paddy Power, but increase my stake to 1 point EW.
1:55 Spring Mile
Looking at last year’s Lincoln Barren Brooke stood out as travelling well after a tardy start. He finished his race well and is in the spring mile this year of near bottom weight. He is 10lbs better off than last year, and although he hasn’t a lot of form on soft there is some there. He also can stay a bit further than the mile here and that might be crucial in this ground. The 25/1 with Paddy Power looks a bit big as worth a small EW Bet.
1 Point EW 25/1 Barren Brooke Paddy Power NON RUNNER
My Main selection Barren Broke is a non-runner and, I’ve had another look and Extraterrestrial looks possibly well treated in here. He has some decent form on soft ground and in generally has run well with this jockey on board. He’s not getting any younger but can get involved of this rating. He has a reasonable rating fresh 25/1 looks a nice EW price.
1 Point EW 25/1 various Extraterrestrial
3:05 William Hill Lincoln
Memory Cloth has some great form on soft ground of around this mark. His first run back this season on the AW can be safely ignored, as surly this race has been the plan for a while. Although he is near the top of the weights he carries a reasonable 9:00 even and that shouldn’t rule him out. He looks a decent price at 22/1 on Paddy Power with 5 places
1 Point EW 22/1 5 Places Paddy Power
Colonel Mak looks seriously well in at the weights here. He is a proven soft ground performer and won this race last year of 3 lbs higher. He has some very decent runs after that last year including an excellent 5th in the Ayr Gold Cup again on soft ground. That kind of form will have a serious chance here in this race and 10/1 looks a bit of value here.
1 Point win 10/1 Various
King Fontaine is one I’ve selected a few times including when placed last year in the Scottish National. He is 11lbs better off here having a couple of poor runs this year mostly on unsuitable soft ground. My feeling is another tilt at the National is on the cards and he will have to win here to get in the race. The decent ground is in his favour and he has a couple of course wins here to boot. 10/1 might be a bit of value.
1 Point win 10/1 Various
Red Jazz looks a rather silly price at 25/1 with Ladbrokes for this race, considering he possibly the highest rated in the field with proven course form. He was very poor last time but is well capable of putting in a decent run here and can’t be ignored at that price, especially as he’s been placed twice in this race before.
1 Point EW 25/1 Ladbrokes
Starspangledbanner also looks overpriced here at 25/1 given his past form, and im not sure he would be coming all the way here without being somewhat ready to give him running. He’s worth the risk at that price. I’m also going to have a bet on Sole Power here as he looks well overpriced at 7/1 considering he was second to a very good horse in this last year and is a proven Group 1 performer. He should be much closer to the fav here and is worthy of a bet.
½ Point EW Starspangledbanner 25/1 EW Ladbrokes
2 Points win Sole Power 7/1 Coral
Meydan 6:05 Dubai World Cup
I’m going with a small bet on a couple of outsiders here in Meandre and last year’s winner Monterosso. Meandre has always looked a top class horse in the making and I think it is significant there he is sent here for this race. If he can act on this surface he could well cause a shock here at a big looking 25/1. Last years winner Monterosso was my selection last year and even though he was poor in his last run there is a decent chance that he can recapture that for here again at what looks a few points too big at 14/1.
½ Point win Meandre 25/1 Various
1 Point win Monterosso 14/1 Various