I’m going with an outsider I’ve sided with a few times before with a bit of success in Fredo here. The extended trip and decent ground should really suit him. He actually has a very decent course record usually running well and is down to what looks a very good mark. Although he was poor last time out, he ran a very good race here over too short a trip in a better race off 8lbs higher and any reproduction of that run will give him a great chance here.
1 Point EW 20/1 Various
Ghizao was disappointing in the Ryanair but I’m not sure there is a lot between him and the Favourite Champion Court here apart from that last poor run. Conditions look to be in his favour and he is getting a nice bit of weight from the top 2 here. He has run well this year a couple of times particularly finishing well in the Ascot Chase on softer ground than ideal. It’s more of a gut feeling selection that this race could well suit him, and 8/1 looks a bit of value.
1 Point win 8/1 Paddy Power
Minella Class is possibly down to a mark he can work off after a few poor runs this year. He seemed to go wrong last time out and I’m hoping that his 2 month break since might just spark a mini revival, and if it does I want to be there with a min bet at a huge looking price. He obviously is well handicapped on his best form having been a grade 1 winner, and I’ll take it as a bit of a sign that he remains with Henderson. He’s worth a small risk on Betfair.
½ Point win 38 ½ point place @ 8.2 Betfair.