Scottish Grand National

I’m having a bit of difficulty coming up with anything here but I’m going to start with a min bet on an old favourite of mine Knockara Beau. He is a huge price here and although he hasn’t been at his best this year one thing that is for certain he’s no 60/1 shot. If he gets around here at all he is capable of plugging on at the end past a lot of horses here and has a touch of class that most of the field doesn’t . He was poor here last year but in fairness that was after a very good run in the Gold Cup and he may not have had much left to give. He fell this year at the festival and hasn’t run since. That will hopefully give him a chance of performing here.

½ Point win ½ Point Place Betfair 60/12.5

I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Silver by Nature improve dramatically from his comeback run after a 2 year break. He won the Haydock National in great style of 4 lbs. higher a few years ago, and if the ground softens at all it will be to his advantage. I’m hoping that he has been prepared with this race in mind and he looks worth a min risk at 50/1 on Betfair.

½ Point win ½ Point place Betfair 50/10

NON RUNNER

Going through the race again Problematic sticks out a bit as a bit of value having come down a decent few pounds in the weights for his last few runs. He won at this meeting last year in a novice chase and appears to prefer decent ground. Usually horses that race up with the pace do well in this race and I’m hopeful that will be the plan today. His last run at Aintree was decent behind Battlegroup and 33 on Betfair looks a bit of value.

½ Point win 33 Betfair

Ayr 3:15

Oh Crick sticks out a mile as the value in this race as far as I can see. He is down to a winnable mark and I’m hoping that conditions will suit him tomorrow.  He wasn’t too bad at the festival in a much tougher race and looks value at 10/1 in this company of this mark. He seems to have been around for ages but is still only 10 so there should be a race or two in him yet and I’m hopeful tomorrow is one of those.

1 Point win 10/1 Ladbrokes

2:40

Silk Hall is the outsider of the field here and something is telling me he is overpriced. He should be capable of this mark and his last run back after a very long break was decent enough against 2 horses that are higher rated on unfavourable terms. He has had decent form in the past and the trainer likes this course. It more gut feeling than anything but worth a small shot at the 33/1 EW available.

½ Point EW 33/1 Various PP/Boyles/365 etc.

2:20 Newbury Spring Cup

Minefield of a race so near the start of the flat season so ill try a few and big odds for min bets..

Invisible Hunter looked a decent prospect when winning a Sandown maiden first time out last year, he was poor after but has been gelded and might be worth a min bet at huge odds here of what could be a decent mark of 91.

Memory Cloth is one I’ve earmarked as going to win on of these at some stage this year and although he was poor enough in the Lincoln , he is down another couple of pounds here and is back below his last winning mark. He is at a huge price on Betfair and ill have to have a min bet.

½ Point win Invisible Hunter 46 Betfair

½ Point win Memory Cloth 60 Betfair