I’m going for 2 big outsiders here that appear to be of a good mark. I selected Total Excitement when he ran last time at Cheltenham and from being miles out of it he ran on really well in the finish. He looks to have been given a decent shot by the handicapper here and looks worth a small bet a huge Betfair odds. Similarly Elysian Rock hasn’t run over hurdles in a long time but is on a very favourable mark compared to his chase mark. It’s more of a gut feeling selection and worth a min bet for this formally decent handicap chaser.
½ Point win ½ Point place Betfair Total Excitement 60w/10pl
½ Point win Elysian Rock Betfair 60
With the favourite out this race looks to be a seriously open affair. I never mind discounting Cheltenham Form on other tracks as it’s a whole different ballgame, and with that in mind I’m going for Blackmail here. Before the festival he looked one of the top bumper performer’s, his 2nd to Moyle Park looks very decent now given that horses win here yesterday. He looks a nice bit of value here at 8/1 and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he resumed his decent form before going to the festival.
1 Point win Bet Victor ,Coral, Will Hill, Betfair 8/1
Mr Cracker stands out here as having been given a great chance by the handicapper. He has started to come back to form judging by his last two runs, and had taken a bit of time to show anything after and 18 month break from his novice runs, which included some very decent runs in top class races. He has a very light weight to carry here in 9-12 and is probably still somewhat unexposed. 12/1 looks decent value
2 Points win 12/1 Various