First Avenue gave his best hurdles run of his career in winning the Imperial Cup at Sandown earlier this year, which has to show him in very good form. He has some excellent course form which is vital around here. He was also a good 2nd to Universal of 4lbs higher mark here last year of a similar break to the one he has had now and that horse has gone on to much better things since. It looks as if he has a great chance of this mark if he can carry his hurdles improvement trough to his flat form. He is 20 on Betfair at the moment at that look about double the price I would have expected him to be. I’m also going with a saver bet on another with great course form in Right Step. He is down to a very good mark on his best form and has looked lately as if a return might not be far away. Given his preference for this course id hope that this race has been his target for a while and 11/1 looks value
1 Point win First Avenue 20 Betfair
1 Point win Right Step 11/1 various
Some of the ones I had in mind for this race are probably too short at the moment like Captain Dunne and Stone of Folca, but aside from that there looks to be an overreaction to Judge & Jury’s last poor run at York. He started out this year in good form with a very decent 3rd at York behind Ancient Cross and it’s possible that the next race came too soon at only 9 days later. He has some decent race form in that he was 4th in this race 2 years ago of this mark, and will go on any kind of ground. In general he is a consistent horse and 25/1 with 5 places on bet253 looks a great bet.
1 Point EW 25/1 Bet365 5 places.
In Addition I’m now going to add Confessional at what looks a very decent price of 18/1 with BetVictor. He has run well in this race in the last 2 years and although he hasn’t set the world on fire this year yet I’m hoping this could be his starting point. He ran some eye-catching races in Pattern Company last year and a repeat of those runs will give him a great shout here.
1 Point EW 18/1 Betvictor
I’m going to go with a couple of small bets here on the 2 top weights here. Both Rex Imperator and Es Que Love have shown inconsistent form in the past but are worth small min bets here as any reproduction of form from either of them should be good enough to have a serious shout here. Rex hacked up in a very decent race at Windsor last year in some style and although he was a bit disappointing after that he is back down to that winning mark. Es Que Love has some very decent form last year of a lot higher marks than this and he did win a decent AW handicap this year of a higher mark than he has today. If Fallon can persuade him to perform to his potential, his big looking price will look very good.
½ Point win Es Que Love 25 Betfair
½ Point win Rex Imperator 24 Betfair