I’m in need of a new approach, as I’m getting a bit tired of trying to select in the toughest races imaginable (profitable as its been in the long-run the downswings are huge), i.e. sprint handicaps etc.
I’m going to start of another 1 of these 100 bet treads, but there will be a different focus. there will be less selections that usual, almost no EW bets and i wont be only picking handicaps and 25-40/1 shots.. Follow at you peril.
Ebor York 3:50
I’m going with a previous selection of mine who has run well in this in the past in Saptapadi. Hopefully today has been the plan all year, and I don’t think the soft ground will be much of a disadvantage to him. He has had a few eye-catching runs this year without anything going his way so far. He is worth a small bet at 32 on Betfair
1 Point win 32 Betfair
Suegioo is more or less proven of this mark and is still a lightly raced horse that could well improve here. He seems a big price given his decent run last time out, and looks to me to have as good a chance as some of the market leaders here. 19.5 on Betfair is a good few points larger than I expected.
1 Point win Betfair 19.5
Bet 3 Goodwood 2:55
Monsieur Chevalier is an old favourite of mine that ran a huge race last time out in a Group 2 over course and distance and just seems to be getting back to form. Although he isn’t drawn great here he worth a small risk at a decent price, as he wont mind the softer ground.
½ Point win Betfair 30
Bet 4 Newmarket 3:55
Mince has everything in her favour here, including softer ground and looks to be getting back to form after her last run on unsuitable ground. I actually make her favourite to win this and 5/1 looks a huge price, given her opposition here.
2 Points win 6.4 Betfair