Excellent Guest is back down to the same mark he won of here earlier this year if the 3lbs claimer is taken into the equation and his Ascot record dictates that he isn’t anywhere near a 25/1 shot here, in what looks a weaker than usual race for the type. I’m also going with a small win bet on Monsieur Chevalier who also has a decent course record and hinted at a revival 2 runs ago.
1 Point EW Excellent Guest 25/1 Lads 365
½ Point win Monsieur Chevalier 25/1 PP
There are a few here at the higher end of the betting that I could fancy. Confessional is bound to come back to form at some stage but I thought he would be a higher price than 12/1. Prohibit did come back to form somewhat last time out in a race that has worked out well, and in this race where a fair amount of the runners are off form or have gone up too much in the weights he appeals of a mark of 99 here. 12/1 looks value
1 Point win 12/1 various
I’m going with a gut feeling selection in here Wyborne for the Ellison yard. He is well on the bottom of the weights here and has looked as if he may be ready to improve a few times this season. He has some French form on softer ground and the very light weight will only help n what could be a bit of a slog around here. 33/1 looks great EW value.
1 Point ew 33/1 Generally