Big Winner for us yesterday with Hazelrig winning advised at 28/1 to end a longer than usual barren run.
Ayr Gold Cup
The first time I looked at this I fancied Hoof IT after his run last time and I was surprised he wasn’t favourite here. He has been gradually improving this year to a very good performance last time out in the Haydock Sprint Cup when he finished 3rd. That run rates him at over 110 in my book and with some more improvement to come he could well be too good for these of 107. He won the Stewards Cup with plenty in hand of 111 a couple of years ago and is still only 6 so cold well get back to that form. He looks to be drawn ok and has gone well on softer ground before although the sun tomorrow won’t be a hindrance. The 16/1 in a few places with 5 places paying looks great value
1 Point EW 16/1 5 Places 365/powers/boyles etc
Newmarket 4:15
Fratellino has done me a few favours in the past and looks sure to be striking soon of this mark. The 6 furlongs on decent ground here should be ideal. I’ve seen a bit of hope lately of higher marks and this looks a very weak race in comparison to some of the races he has been in. 20/1 Looks value
1 Point win 20/1 Generally
Ayr Silver Sup
Thunderball looks to be getting back to form in a big way lately with good runs last time out behind Pearl Ice and a very good run from the wrong side in the Great St Wilfred. He could well be on the wrong side here again drawn in 1 but I’ll go for 1 on each side and the 25/1 looks decent value for a horse proven on this mark and with an exceptional soft ground record. 4 of his 5 wins have come on soft ground.
1 Point EW 25/1 5 places Bet365
Ayr 5:00
Tariq Too is a proven soft ground horse who hasn’t raced much this year more than likely because of the ground. This looks a weak enough race and if he can get back to form at all on the softer surface here hell be in with a great shout at a decent looking 12/1 with paddy power.
1 Point win 12/1 Paddy Power
3:30 Newbury
I’m not sure the 5lbs penalty and softer ground here is enough to make Kingsgate Native a 12/1 shot for this Group 3 race. He has been in good form most of this year and his last run was on softer ground when an excellent 5h in the Nunthorpe. That form is a good bit better than most of this field and given his good performance in this last year 12/1 looks value.
1 Point win 12/1 various
LongshotValue 