Our Island looks to have been given a decent chance here by the handicapper. He has some decent runs around here and should really stand chance here of his lowest mark ever. The 10/06 he has to carry tomorrow will be a big advantage at the end of this race given the softer than normal ground around here. I got a small bet on at 33/1 with Coral earlier but that is gone and I’d be happy enough with the 25/1 available in a couple of places.
1 Point EW 25/1 Sky/tote/fred
Local Hero seems to my mind to have been dropped a bit too much for some reasonable runs over the last year. He is 4lbs below his last winning mark and has run well on a few occasions since including a very good 3rd to Barizan in the Swinton.. He is worthy of a win bet as if he is back to form after his break, he can win this once the ground doesn’t get any softer. The 20/1 with bet365 looks value.
1 Point win 20/1 Bet365..
I’m also going for Bygones Of Brid here at a huge looking price. He has some very decent form this year, particularly a good 2nd in Aintree in a decent class 2 hurdle, after encountering some trouble near the finish. He ticks a few boxes here In that he is back to his preferred trip of 2 miles, after a couple of runs over longer and has a 7lbs claimer on today for the first time in his career. My gut feeling is that he may well try to make this from the start and could well be difficult to catch with only 10:05 on his back. Hopefully this claimer can judge pace.. 33/1 looks well worth an EW bet here as in my mind he is around 16/1 – 20/1.
1.5 pts EW 33/1 Lads/365/888/Coral
7/1 about Oscars Well here is a bit too big to ignore given that there isn’t much between him and the 2nd fav here who is 2/1 and that fact that Roi Du Mee ran poorly last time. This race should suit him fine and he has been running well this year so far. Any improvement from his previous runs will put him right in the firing line. He has been ultra-consistent without winning, although in fairness has come up against a few top class horses over the last year or 2.
2 Points win 7/1 Bet
QUARTZ DE THAIX is the only horse in this field with any real preference for soft ground and despite him being poor enough this year especially last time, he looks a bit of value here at 22 on Betfair. The French horse at the bottom of the weights could also like this surface. Its taking a flyer that blinkers and hurdles will spark a bit of a recovery.
1 Point win 22 Betfair