Warwick 3:35

Safran De Cotte sticks out here as a horse with a bit of potential who will like the ground here. We have to ignore his last poor run but I’m hopeful that if he can get back to his form of last year he is of a decent mark here and carrying less than 10stone here will be a very decent advantage in this slog of a race. The 3lbs claimer on today has plenty of success on the horse and 18/1 looks decent value.

1 Point win 18/1 Betfair/Stan James/Coral

Kempton 4:40

River Maigue looks to me as if he will really appreciate the step up in trip here and the soft ground. He has some top class novice form and although he was a disappointment on his reappearance at Sandown in what was probably too quick a race, he should be well suited to this. He really looks a stayer and has a couple of good runs on soft ground. 6/1 is shorted than my usual type but I’m going with my gut here.

1 Point win 6/1 Generally