Kempton 3:50

I’ve missed some better prices earlier this week on Tour des Champs but now that its nrnb and the field has broken up somewhat he still looks great value at 12/1. I was on him last time out in the Welsh National but he hit the 4th fence and was never travelling after that. Before that this horse has put in a string of very decent performances off marks in the 130’s and I think he looks thrown in here of 127 with only 10.01 on his back. He will be getting at least 5lbs from the field and is still a relatively unexposed 7yo in this type of race. Weight could well be a huge factor here in what will be a slog and the race just looks poorer than it should be for the money on offer.

2 Points win 12/1 Various 

4:30 Newcastle

Gansey looks to have been ruled out too quickly by the market after this poor run last time. He won this race of this mark 2 years ago after a similar poor run and actually has had pretty decent form this season especially in his 2 previous runs of this mark and with the step down in class here on a course he has form on him being the 12/1 outsider of the field looks a bit silly.

1 Point win 12/1 Bet365

2:55 Newcastle

I was looking at Safran De Cotte in this but pricewise has ruined the price on him unfortunately and I’m not sure he’d be value at 10/1. Looking at the rest of the field for value Seven Woods looks an ideal type for this race, he certainly looks as if the step up in trip will suit him judging by his runs this year. He looks a real stayer in the making on his run behind HandsupforDetroit at Chepstow.  He has some decent novice form and apart from his poor run over hurdles latest (which looks a clue to this being his target) he has been knocking at the door this year, in my mind looking for this trip. 18/1 looks a nice price and worthy of a small bet.

1 Point win 18/1 Lads/vic/James/365