4:00 Byrne Group Plate
Nadiya De La Vega is one I’ve picked a few times in the past around here after she had a few decent few runs of this course and distance. She has dropped below her last winning mark and has plenty of good form on decent ground. There is a visor applied today which could work well given her suspect temperament. She is a standout 25/1 with 5 places on SKYBET and that looks a good few points too big here.
1 Point EW 25/1 5 Places Skybet.
I’m also going to go back to my old failing of backing some of my favourite older horses here, in the form of Tartak. He has run well in this race for the last 2 years in 6th and 3rd of higher marks and judging by his very decent 4th over C&D earlier this year, he is overpriced at 33/1 with 5 places.
1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places BetVictor
ANTEPOST already selected for today.
Both of these have worked out well as they will go off at significantly shorter prices.
In a race that could cut up significantly Menorah now great value at 16/1 nrnb with bet365. His last 2 runs last year would put him in with an excellent chance here, just getting beat by First Lieutenant at Aintree and then just about failing to give 17lbs to Champion Court at Cheltenham. He was poor on the King George in soft ground but has in the past has numerous times come back from poor runs to excel and I wouldn’t rule it out here.
1 Point win 16/1 NRNB Bet365
JLT Novice Chase
Oscar Whiskey just looks overpriced here. He hasn’t really set the world alight with his jumping but this could well be a week enough affair and I really can’t have the 2 above him in the market at shorter prices. It’s risky enough without NRNB but 10/1 is just too big here and I’ll have to go for a 1 point bet as I’d be more raging if I wasn’t on at that price before the race than if I lost it if he didn’t run.
1 Point win 10/1 Ladbrokes
3:20 World Hurdle
Celestial Halo stands out a mile here as the value in this race at 40/1. He looks clearly the 3rd best of these on all known form and apart from his last run where the trainer has intimated he needed, he has been in top class for form the last year. He was a great 2nd in this last year and has 2 wins already this year. He will like the ground and Paul Nicholls seems to think he shouldn’t be written off here.
1 Point EW 40/1 Stan James/Bet Victor
4:40 Kim Muir
I’m going with gut feeling here in Quinz. He is always best fresh on good ground and although we have a fair bit of poor form to overlook I just get the feeling that he will be right for today of a really great mark. He is 12 lbs below his really good 4th in the Racing Plus Chase last year and if he can be revived at all today he is worth a speculative selection at 33/1 with 5 places.
1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places Sporting Bet Bet365 and others.
2:05 Pertemps Network Final
Had a huge amount of difficulty picking anything in this race but just stumbled across First Fandango at a huge price. He ran a decent race in this last year but then improved to a good 3rd at Aintree. He is down again and if he can reproduce that run here with a new 10lbs claimer on today he might not be far away. 50/1 with 5 places with Stan James looks tempting
1pt EW 50/1 5 Places Stan James