I think there is too much of a difference in price here between At Fishers Cross and Zarkandar here. Zarkandar was probably asked to do too much in the World Hurdle and really finished his race well just 2 lengths behind the fav here. He could hardly have a better record here and in truth probably should be favourite on his Aintree Hurdle form alone, along with his now proven staying ability. 4/1 looks too big.
2 Points win 4/1 BetVictor/Coral
I’m tempted by a couple of outside chances here that would need a return to form, but these things happen regularly at Aintree so it may be worth a small investment . Both Vino Greigo and Golden Chieftain have proven in some of their runs to be well capable of winning this of their current marks and have both suddenly improved in the past before. As they are both available at 33/1 or better it’s worth the risk as any return to form by either will put them right in the firing line here.
1 Point win Vino Griego Betfair 44
1 Point win Golden Chieftain Betfair 55
I already have Burton Port selected at 50/1 EW Ante post and I wouldn’t swap that bet for anything now. I’ve looked for a big price angle a number of times in this race and I’m beginning to get the feeling that class may well out here and there is a huge amount of the field that can’t win. It’s a matter of selecting the best value of the class horses as a starting point and at the current price I can’t but be interested in Tidal Bay. It’s not just his class performance in Grade 1 Chases this year but his 3rd on unsuitable ground in the Welsh National that really catches the eye, amazingly 2lbs higher than today. If anything he has been getting better as his mark has dropped and I can’t ignore that at 22/1.
I had Walkon in mind for this all year and although he has a load of negatives in terms of trip I’m going to assume that his trainer knows him better than the rest of us and that put with his top class performance last year over these fences just failing to concede a stone to Triolo D’Alene, has to put him in with a chance here if he can be kept together for the first circuit. 50/1 seems a huge price
I have to go with a couple of min bet at huge prices and the only ones I can see with a small chance a huge prices are Our Father who to my eye looks to be suited by this race. He has run well this year in the Hennessy and ran well at Cheltenham but is still a bit unexposed and could well be better than his mark. I’ll have a small dart at 120 on Betfair. I also think Hunt Ball could be suited by the race and his staying on performance in 4th in the Ryanair was a step back to good form for him and that along with his good 3rd in the Grade 1 Bowl here might give him a tiny squeak at a huge looking 80/1
1 Point win Tidal Bay 22/1 Stan/888/Sporting
1 Point EW Walkon 50/1 5 Places Bet365 (place stake back before 12)
½ Point win Our Father 120 Betfair
½ Point win Hunt Ball 80/1 Various
Advised Already https://longshotvalue.com/grand-national-ante-post/
1 Point EW 50/1 Burton Port RaceBets
Kashmir Peak caught my eye from a canny trainer who may have targeted a race here. His beating of Sametegal and Vasco Du Ronceray about 16 months ago read well in the context of his mark of 133 and he looks worth a shot at 28 on Betfair . He is fit from running on the flat.
1 Point win Betfair 28