Longer Distance handicap’s aren’t really by bag at all, but one thing about Ascot is Course Form is everything and in an effort to find something interesting here at a decent price I came across Eshtiaal. He was an excellent fast finishes 3rd in an identical race to this over this course and distance last year , and although he hasn’t shown anything since in 2 runs, you’d have to think today would have been the plan. His reappearance was on soft ground and todays conditions will be far more in his favour. He is on the same mark as that good run last year ,and 33/1 looks a very decent margin on his chances here.
1 Point EW 33/1 Various
Medicean Man is in the form of his life this year and that can be dangerous to ignore with sprinters. He was exceptional this year in Meydan and carried that forward to a career best 4th on Tuesday in the Kings Stand. I think that race is a big step up from this one and 25/1 is a bit of an insult. He also has plenty of very good course form. He has also run well when turned around quickly in the past and that’s too may positives to ignore
1 Point EW 25/1 Various
I get the feeling the Racy is on the way back to some form and ran well last time out on probably unsuitable soft ground in a very good race. He has excellent Ascot Good-Firm form 2nd behind Masamah last year and although he is inconsistent he is a big enough price to make the risk worth taking at 50/1. Zero Money is similar in that he has good form at the course and seeing that I cant take my eyes of the eye watering 125/1, I’ll have to have a punt on that as well. It does take some creative thinking to give him even a tiny chance but the course form and decent draw give him that.
1 Point EW Racy 50/1 5Places 365/Coral
1 Point EW Zero Money 125/1 5 Places 365/VC/Coral
This is a strange race with questions about everything so in looking for a value angle, I’m going again with course form. Ektihaam sluiced up in a C&d race last year on the same ground and although he has done literally nothing since, in this field I’m hoping for a return to form which will put him right here with a decent chance. He was poor on his reappearance but should be fitter today and 16/1 looks worth chancing.
1 Point win 16/1 Various