I’m going to go with Waterclock here at a huge price. He was 2nd in this last year of 6lbs higher, but has been poor this year. There is surly a chance that all this season has been geared to this race and given his odds of 40/1 he’s worth a risk.
1 Point EW 40/1 5 places Betvictor
Strange race where I don’t really like anything with much conviction, but I’m going against me reasoning for my other pick here with one with a bad draw (as if that matter is a 2m2f race) and poor race form . Earth Amber has some good early season form in good races and although he is high enough in the weights he has surly been put away for this. His last run can be ignored if that is the case and id be kicking myself if a Henderson trained Fallon ridden horse was to win this at 40/1 or bigger. The trainer just doesn’t tend to run no hopers.
1 Point EW 5 places 40/1 Generally
Having looked at this race there seems a possibility that this may fall into the lap of Educate. He is up against a lot of horses that have come up in the weights or are out of form. He is in good form of late and has been as consistent as anything in his last few runs. If this 7lbs claimer can ride him the way he needs to be ridden he looks shorter than the available 8/1 to win here
2 Points win 8/1 Generally
Rex Imperator has been poor this year but looks to have been given a big chance here by the handicapper if he can get any of his old form back. I don’t think he’ll mind the softer ground and I just can’t resist 33/1 about such a class animal. In these type of sprints anything can happen and if one is to cause a shock he is the most likely. I’m also going with one that looks a touch unexposed to me and might just be able to go on from here. Fairway to Heaven looked very good on his second last run and possibly has some improvement in him. He looks worth another 33/1 risk worth taking
1 Point win both 33/1 Generally
Cape Tribulation has run well in this before off a break and is simply too low in the handicap to ignore at a big looking 20/1. He may be getting on and not as good as he was but he possibly won’t need to be here.
1 Point win 20/1 VC & Coral