I was waiting for the confirmed field and nrnb to come out to have a go at Wicklow Brave here. He has been a bit of a disappointment since his very good novice form, but his season may have been planned with this in mind. He had run here earlier in the season and it didn’t go well but it seemed at the time a strange race to put him in and i’m hopeful that it was just a precursor to this race. He ran really well in the Supreme at the festival but didn’t quite see it up the hill. That indicated to me he will like this strong run race and i’m not about to let Willie Mullins only runner , who has some very decent form go of at 33/1.
2 Points EW 33/1 5 Places Bet365
I’m going to go with another small bet here on Cheltenian . He was 4th in this last year and is still a relatively unexposed horse with a decent hope that he can be better than his current mark. If he can improve his jumping he may well come there with a chance at the last and that is all that can be asked for a 40/1 shot. His chances of getting in the first 5 looks fairly high to me .
1 Point EW 40/1 5 Places Various
I was very sure of Ackertac placing at least last time out and he ran well just getting knocked out of it close home. I think this slightly shorter trip and weaker race will give him a great chance of making up for that, along with the couple of more pounds is hand this time. 7/1 is bigger than I thought he would be.
2 Points win 7/1 Generally
Blood Cotil’s hurdles form is a long way clear of anything else here, but he has been a bit of a disappointment so far over fences. If he can tidy up his jumping at all he looks overpriced here at 10/3. That favourite took a heavy fall at the last when tanking along last time out but that could be a dent to his confidence and I’d prefer to be on a fairly solid performer like the selection in this case.
2 Points win 10/3 Coral
This race looks up for grabs for me as Houblon Des Obeaux should really be winning this on pure form, but he isn’t one that wins enough and looking the rest of the field there really isn’t anything much between any of them on all known form. I think for example there isn’t anything between Double Ross and Tarquin Du Seuil. His 3rd behind Tarquin and Menorah in the Charlie Hall is near good enough form to be close here and it looks to me as if he may be underestimated. Id make him more of a 12/1 shot so the 20/1 available would have to be taken.
1 Point win 20/1 Double Ross Various