A nice bit of profit today with 50/1 Gods Own 2nd and 25/1 shot Indian Castle also placed.
4:40 Fred Winter
This race is a bit of a minefield but in struggling to come up with anything I noticed Sebastian Beach at a big price. He was a good 3rd behind Beltor and one of the favourites here in Arabian Revolution. He then won really well of good ground before disappointing when backed heavily on soft ground. If the good ground can bring out the best in him he may well be able to outrun his big price here.
1 Point EW 33/1 Stan James / Sky Bet
2:40 Coral Cup
Maybe I’ve really lost the plot here but for some reason I can’t get past Rolling Star at a huge price in this. He showed a lot of promise as a 4yo, and actually went of favourite on Our Conors triumph and ran ok. He has been very lightly raced since and came back lately on soft ground with a poor run. But he still has possibilities of improvement and looks worth a gamble to me at a huge 66/1. Ill probably add another one for this race tomorrow but can’t see anything yet
1 Point EW 66/1 5 places SkyBET
I’m also going for Mijhaar who has disappointed since going over hurdles. He was a very decent flat horse, but in fairness hasn’t had decent ground much over hurdles and has performed better the times he had. This step up in trip will help judging by his other runs and 33/1 looks value.
1 Point EW 33/1 5 places Generally
2:05 RSA Chase
Adriana Des Mottes has been a bit of a disappointment on a few occasions, but her 3rd last time out in a hot Grade 1 at Leopardstown has a solid look about it, especially when she should be well suited by the step up in trip here. She should travel well in this race and with the decent mares allowance and the trip she stands a better chance than her 28/1 odds.
1 Point EW 28/1 Various
Previously Advised running today
Sprinter Sacres price of 5/2 is near as good a price as you’ll get anyway (the best being 11/4), and no matter what happens between this and then he won’t go of longer than that if he turns up. Barry was very positive on him and given the possible trouble with Sire De Grugy he could go off long odds on if he runs well on his reappearance.
2 Points win 5/2 NRNB Betfair Sportsbook
I Think that was a great return by Sprinter Sacre and with improvement to come the 3/1 NRNB that is available now will look massive on the day with the sun on his back and good ground.
I have 2 pts at 5/2 NRNB already and im going to top up with another 2 here.
2 Pts win 3/1 NRNB Totesport / Betfred
The price on this doesnt look great now but he is still my pick to win this so fingers crossed
Cross Country Chase
This is one of my best races at the festival over the last 10 years or so and having seen the weights out today I think Duke of Lucca could be shorter here. He was a good staying on 4th last year but has a big weight turnaround with this years form horse Any Currency. It looks a weaker race this year without two of last year’s first 3 and I would expect Duke of Lucca to go of favourite here from the same team as last years winner.
2 Points win 8/1 Bet365 NRNB
This is my bet of the festival and he is probably going to go off at 5-6/1 so the value looks good.