I’m going to start with a couple of very big outsiders that might be able to get involved here having had light seasons and shown some potential in the past. I may add another one tomorrow.
Owega Star has shown a fair bit of potential this year and has looked at home of good ground a few times. He was a very good 5th in the Paddy Power and if he can build on that he might just stand a chance here at 100/1.
Super Duty has had very little racing the last couple of years but looked a potential very good stayer and a national prospect when he was just held in the Kim Muir 2 years ago of 1lb higher than this mark. He didn’t do much on his reappearance but if this trainer can improve him and this was the plan he has enough class and ability to stand a real chance here at 80/1
The Rainbow Hunter has been unlucky a few times in this race having been brought down both times but he has shown a nice bit of ability, particularly when winning the Sky Bet Chase last year. I’m hoping he has been set out for this all year and he is another at a huge price of 80/1
I’ve been expecting the price on Chance du Roy to come down given his good record here but since he has in fact gone out to 50/1 I can’t see any reason not to have an EW bet at what looks double the price he should be. He can perform of this mark over these fences on this ground what more could anyone ask for.
1 Point EW Chance du Roy 50/1 Various 5 places
1 Point EW Owega Star 100/1 BetVictor 6 places
1 Point EW Super Duty 80/1 BetVictor 6 places
1 Point EW The Rainbow Hunter 80/1 Bet365 5 places
Ballyglasheen could well be suited to this race and although its more of a gut feeling selection I’m happy to take a flyer at 50/1. He had a very good win against my favourite horse last year, and with the jockeys 5lbs claim he is on around the same mark.
1 Point EW 50/1 Stan James
Bobowen should be suited by this race judging by his summer plate win on good ground 2 years ago. He hasn’t had much racing since but hopefully he will be up for this after a relatively poor seasonal opener. Some of my old favourites are in this race but all appear to be a bit short for value.
1 Point win 16/1 VC/Paddy