Nice 9/1 winner for us yesterday with Sea Lord in the W/o market.
A Fairly straightforward pick here is Gramercy. He ran well last time at Chester on his reappearance travelling well and probably not staying in the soft ground over 7 furlongs. Of this mark he is well capable of taking this race. He should strip fitter here and 20/1 with paddy power is a standout price that won’t last long
1 Point EW 20/1 Paddy Power
I can’t remember a worse 1mile group 1 on decent ground. There isn’t 1 standout horse in this and I can’t have the favourite at the prices. It’s fairly clear that there is nothing between the top 4 in the betting but Toormore looks the definite value here. He won well on his debut last year and I’m pretty sure he’ll be ready for this. There shouldn’t be much in price between him and the fav Night of Thunder on last year’s runs. I’m also going to have a small saver bet on Cougar Mountain simply because he is the choice of the yard to go for this and his first run can be ignored. 25/1 is too big.
1 Point win Toormore 9/1 Various
½ Point win Cougar Mountain 25/1 Various
Chiberta King has been pretty poor on the AW lately but his turf form around here particularly is very strong and if he can recapture any of that at all he stands a decent chance here at a big price. It’s also possible he needs a bit further but that’s a risk worth taking at 20/1
½ Point Win 20/1 Various
Willie Mullins has an unbelievable record in these races when he sends them over and my gut feeling is the market has the wrong one from him today. Gitane Du Berlais looks a soft ground horse and her record around here is decent but not great enough to be very short here, especially on good ground. I do like the look of his other runner Val DE Ferbet who although jumped poor last time out, has some very decent form and has Ruby on board today. 9/1 looks a few points too big
1 Point win 9/1 Generally Val DE Ferbet