Predictably enough I’m going for the outsider of the field here, with just enough zeros in his form to make it interesting. Free Zone basically hasn’t done a tap in long time, but amid all the last places over the last 2 years he has run well a few times, like the good 2nd at York at the end of last year. I never mind a few lasts with sprinters as these race can get away from you very quickly and there isn’t any point after that. He won’t mind the slightly softer ground here and if he can get away he should be able to perform of this mark. At 40/1 he’s worth the risk, especially with this trainer as he is a sprint specialist and surly would have a plan for this one. I’m also going for another at the end of the market in Smoothtalkingrascal. He was second in this 2 years ago and course form means a lot here. He has plummeted down the weights of late after a series of poor runs, but I’ve seen a bit to like in his last 2 runs and if the new stable have any sense they will have been getting him ready for today. His draw may not be ideal, but a big step up in form here wouldn’t be a huge surprise he is 20lbs below his highest mark and still only a 5yo. 33/1 is well worth a risk
1 Point EW 40/1 Free Zone 5 Places Ladbrokes
1 Point EW 33/1 Smoothtalkingrascal 5 Places Bet365
4:30 Epson Derby
I put up Giovanni Canaletto for this last weekend at 16/1 and I wouldn’t be swapping that now given he is only 8/1. I also think that Epicuris is probably a bit overlooked here at a decent price. He was a very good unbeaten 2yo in France winning a Group 1 at the end of last year. He was poor enough on his reappearance but I just don’t think he would be coming here without a bit of a chance from this trainer. His 2yo for is really top drawer and if it does get in any way softer tomorrow that certainly won’t bother him. 18/1 with Paddy Power is too big to ignore.
1 Point win 18/1 Paddy Power
Extrasolar has always taken a few runs to get going and despite being poor so far this year he is now of a mark he can win off. He has been slowly away the last 2 times so if he can get away this time he should be getting near fit enough to do himself justice at a decent looking 25/1. He looks worth a gamble at that price.
1 Point win 25/1 Various
Going for last minute change of heart here. I has a look at Mirsalle in this last night and decided against it, but on a second look he is down to a very nice mark and won around here on his first run of the season 2 years ago. He had 1 very good run last year when 2nd to Gatewood on level weights and today of 89 with a 3lbs claimer on he may be in with a shout at 40/1
1 Point EW 40/1 Betfair/Tote/Sporting/Betfair