Epson 7:25

Looking back through Geological‘s form reveals that all his good runs at the end of last year have worked out really well; with every horse he was involved in a finish with going up in mark afterwards and performing. He came back here last month and travelled well but ran out of steam which was understandable on his seasonal reappearance and the trip was over 7 furlongs which was probably too far. He is back over 6 furlongs here and if he can repeat his improvement at the end of last year he shouldn’t be far away here. This does look a fairly tough race with a few in it that could come back to form of a good mark, but 12/1 about the selection seems decent value.

1 Point win 12/1 Sky/Hills/Betway

Tipperary 8:30

My record in these kinds of races is pretty shoddy to say the least but there is a couple in here on very low mark that probably has a race like this in them at some stage. I’m going to go with a trainer and jockey that haven’t had a winner yet this year, but on his last run Cape Explorer might just be about to get into some kind of half decent form, which would be enough to get involved here of this mark. He was a very decent mid 70’s horse on the flat in the uk before being a promising enough Hurdler. He was very lightly raced before moving to his current stable and its fair to say he may not be going to get back to his former mark any time soon. His last run was a step up on a very poor series of runs and off this mark 25lbs below his best with a 10 lbs claimer on he may stand a decent chance in this low level race. If I’m going to have a bet in these low level races they will be min bets.

½ Point EW 25/1 Generally