Ascot 3:15 International Handicap
We waited a while for Hawkeyethenoo to get into one of these races after what I thought was a great run here to be 3rd in the Victoria Cup. He ran a comical race next time out when on the bridle all the way in the course record run of the Scottish Sprint Cup and that run has made me think this horse is ready to get back to top form. There is the negative of that fact that its been a bit of a wait for a race but the positives outweigh them. He is drawn high and is certainly not inconvenienced by the softer ground here tomorrow. I think the ground makes his EW prospects very good indeed and I think the 25/1 with 5 places is good (I had hoped for 33/1 but still I can’t complain).
2 Points EW 25/1 5 Places Paddy/888/tote/Betfair and others.
The other I’m going for is Sirius Prospect. He will certainly love the ground and appears to me to be coming into form looking at his last 2 runs. Particularly last time out when he couldn’t have been in a worse position all race and finished well on unsuitable ground. He is 2lbs lower here and is certainly a better horse on softer ground. In addition he is the opposite side of the draw from Hawkeye so it’ll be nice to have no draw excuses. 33/1 with 5 places is available in Racebets, and that looks a standout price.
1 Point EW 33/1 5 Places Racebets/Stanjames
Excellent Guest was part of the best tipping day I ever had when going in at 25/1 about 10 minutes after Barizan did about 2 years ago. He loves this course has done nothing this year but he needed to go down a pound or two to get into this race and is ridden by the trainers daughter (Surly it cant be that obvious). Anyway 16/1 looks value and to avoid TV remotes being lodged in the screen if I was to witness an Ascot win and not be on like last year I’ll be having a bet.
1 Point win 16/1 Sky BET
Sometimes there can be no real explanation of why a longshot sticks out for me and this is no exception. For some unknown reason I can see Hoof It running a big race here tomorrow. He was pretty decent last year a few times of higher marks than this and although he has been poor enough this season my gut feeling in he will start to improve shortly enough and I want to be there when he does. I think he is worth the risk at 25/1 with 5 places.
1 Point EW 25/1 Skybet 5 places
I see a few issue’s with the top of the market in this race. Custom Cut could be above his best trip and Prince Gibraltar could need further in this ground. With that in mind the one that interests me here at a price if Tullius. He really hasn’t been that good this year but this race could well be ideal for him. If he was to be back to his best the current 10/1 is a nice bit of value and worth the risk given the issues with the other runners here.
1 Point win 10/1 Generally