Yesterday was a total disaster. All the selections were backed so we found the value but none really performed at all. Both Galway selections missed the break which meant it was game over after 50 yeards in each.
Galway Plate 5:30
Alderwood ran really well in the Irish Grand National until a mistake at the 2nd last and if it wasn’t for that mistake there is no chance he would be 25/1 here or be running of 2llbs lower. He has had a break since and I’m fairly confident he has one more big race in him of this mark. He was a bit of a disappointment since his 2nd big win at Cheltenham, but in fairness he has been running on very soft ground far too much. The decent ground here and step down in trip from the national can only help and I’ll be having a bigger than usual bet at 25/1 with 5 places.
2 Points EW Alderwood 5 places 365/sky and others
The other that interests me here at a huge price is Rathlin he has been back to form this year with 2 eye catching runs at Aintree and Punchestown. He is here now somehow 5lbs lower than that great Aintree run and that doesn’t make any sense. He has the right trip ground and a very nice racing weight. He is generally a prominent racer which will keep him out of trouble here and although he has a chance of winning his place potential looks huge to me.
1 Point EW Rathlin 33/1 5 places Generally.
Not exactly a longshot but I’m not one to look a gift horse in the mouth. Highland Reel looks an odds on shot here and with the ground now good, that probably won’t suit the improving Medrano. Highland reel won here last year and will probably go of around the 6/4 mark at best if not shorter. 2/1 is certainly value.
3 Points win 2/1 Generally
Boîte ran really well here on his 2nd last run and if we can forgive him his Ascot run he looks overpriced at 20/1. He looks sure to stay on is on a decent mark .
1pt Ew 20/1 5 places 365 and others ..