I was waiting for prices for this race for the last few days for a range of prices on Suzis Connoisseur as there had been a bit of 12/1 and I hoped for at least that which would have been a decent mistake, but unfortunately he is best 9/1 and that doesn’t look value in this race. I’m drawn towards Jack Revenge who has a decent record with cut in the ground and looked at Galway to be on the way back to decent form after being backed a couple of times and running well. 33/1 with Coral looks big. He has never had the rub of the green in a big race having travelled well a number of times and just not getting the gaps when needed. This soft ground 7 furlongs should suit him and 33/1 is certainly value.
1 Point win 33/1 Coral/VC
Jacks Revenge , ran ok after being way to far back and drawn out side, but he seemed to finish well and ill be keeping him in mind for a soft ground 8 Furlong handicap soon enough hopefully at a big price
Addictive Dream has showed up well enough In 2 decent races over 5 furlongs previous to his last poor run at York over 6. He has had a break, switched trainers and has an interesting jockey booking for tomorrow along with the dis-guarded headgear. This trainer is on a very good strike rate the last 12 months mostly with sprinters and I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a few quid for him tomorrow at a big looking 25/1 in a few places. The fact that he is back over 5 furlongs here is a decent positive along with a very decent 5lbs drop in mark. Hopefully it doesn’t rain too much tomorrow.
1 Point win 25/1 VC/Lads/Coral/Betfair
Addictive Dream was backed in 8/1 from the advised 25/1. Even with the 20% rule 4, we were in a good position, but he ran poorly and i think we’ll be leaving him alone for a while.
Naadir looks like a sprinter really going places when he won with loads in hand in a better race than this at the start of the year. He has been given a break after 2 poor runs since that win and if that can re-kindle some of his best form this race is there for the taking. Lucky Kristale will be a big danger but at the prices I’d prefer to be with the selection. He could push on from here and take in bigger races towards then end of the season if he gets back to form here. 10/1 is a very decent value despite him having to give weight away to the whole field.
1 Point win 10/1 Ladbrokes/Betfred
Naadir Ran a great race to be 2nd after being backed into 11/2 at the off. The winner got first run on him and he finished like a train. I think there could be a big sprint in him and hell be on my radar (probably everyone else’s as well unfortunately)
Proposed has run well in his last 2 runs, looking like he would like a step up in trip. He will get all the allowance’s here as a 3yo and has an additional 3 lbs claimer on today. I think his current form puts him right in the picture here at what looks a very decent price of 12 to 14/1. Over this trip that weight advantage should tell and he looks a grinder so far so I’m not overly worried about a 3yo facing older horses. I’d be happy with 12/1 either but 14/1 is available with sporting bet
Proposed was backed into a solid 10/1 but ran much poorer than expected.