Long Shot Saturday

York 4:35

Rosairlie has 2 ways of running, very good and very bad. In general her good runs have come on softer ground and also after a poor enough run. She hasn’t seen soft since her good win earlier this year at Ripon and hopefully its stays soft for her in this race tomorrow. We can ignore her 2 runs since on good ground going by her profile and 33/1 looks a decent bit of value despite her being possibly a pound or two higher than ideal.

1 Point win 33/1 Bet365 and 10Bet

Got Backed into 20/1 but was out the back and never got on terms

3:50 Newmaket

Communicator had a poor enough go over hurdles for Jonjo O’Neill but is back here with his former trainer. He ran well in this last year and is certainly on a workable mark. He showed up well last time out a Chester and after a very light season he could well have an advantage over a lot of the field here. He is drawn high but it’s a 2 mile race and I’m going to ignore that with his price. He has plenty of good enough form over this trip to get involved here tomorrow.

1 Point EW 50/1 5 places Generally

Ran a very decent race just getting run out of the places near the line

York 3:25

I will of course be going with cliff horse Robot Boy here. He looks ready to win and is dropping down in mark nicely. It’s a tough race but he certainly has a chance. He would need to get away better this time. He has a touch of class and plenty of his form this year makes this mark and price look a good combination.

1 Point win 20/1 365/sky/paddy/boyles and others

Unbelievably poor, finished last after being well backed.

I’m also going with another big price dart here in Foxtrot Romeo. He is down to a well workable mark and is in the right hands to turn things around shortly. He Showed up well last time out in the Silver Cup and I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see him involved in the finish here at a big looking 25/1

1 Point win 25/1 Generally

Never got into the stalls so a Non-Runner

3:50 Newmaket

I liked the look of Aussie Reigns yesterday at an outrageous price and now that it’s got into my head I can’t not have a tiny bet just in case at a really silly price on Betfair. He has a touch of class and a few bits of form this year that could make the mark here with the  help of a 5lbs claimer just about feasible enough to have a minimum bet at the over 200 on betfair. I was going for a larger EW bet but I’m not sure of the value of that so a small betfair bet will suffice

½ Point win Betfair 230 Betfair

Ran well enough but couldn’t sustain effort

My other main selection here is Noble Silk he was a big eye-catcher for us last time out when we were on at a big price and he was a superb 4th when coming up against a couple of Group Horses in the Ascot Stakes this year. If he can kick on anything like the other horses involved in that race he will be very close here. I said to myself yesterday that 25/1 would be the price I’d be taking interest in and he is available at that with a few bookies there now.

1 Point win 25/1 888/hills/Betfair

Very disappointing didn’t stay

York 2:15

David Livingstone is a horse I had a lot of time for  at Aidan O’Briens and despite these horses in generally not having much of a record when moved on he looked good on his first run back in a very good field and a mark of 102 looks well with his grasp. This field has a weak enough look to it and he could easily be too good for these. At a price of 10/1 he certainly looks a bit of value if he can some on at all from that first run.

1 Point win 10/1 888/lads/hills/betfair

Was backed into 7/1 but got bumped 2 out and never a factor after that. He wasnt going well enough anyway