Bears Affair appeals here at a decent looking price. He loves it around here has a great record fresh and I don’t think the jockey booking mean anything with Nicky’s other runner as Freddie generally rides him and his 5lbs will be handy for the top weight. He is well capable of this mark and although a bit further wouldn’t go astray he has performed here over this trip a few times with great credit.
2 Points win 8/1 Generally 17/2 Betway if you can get on
This was a poor enough run and he wasn’t ready
This looks a very tight race and I have to admit I was humming and hawing about Buywise last night without pulling the trigger. He is up against a few really top class horses and if any of those are in form ready for this 11/2 may not be big enough. I’m going to go a bit left of field a go for an outsider in Brave Sparticus at a very big price. He beat a very good yardstick in Baby Mix with any amount in hard in the summer place and although he has obviously risen in the weights that performance deserved it. This track and good ground could make him hard to catch in a nice low weight if he gets in a similar rhythm as that run. His last couple can be ignored easily as he was probably getting fit for this race. He is 20/1 in a couple of places now as that the signal to have a bet.
1 Point win 20/1 VC/Paddy
He ran a great race to be 4th but there is a decent race in him of this mark.
Another decent race and here I like the outsider of the field Mwaleshi at a big price. He has plenty of decent form but looks of a nice mark here. IF he is ever to get 3 miles it will be around here on decent ground and he also has a decent record fresh. 18/1 makes taking the chance worthwhile.
1 Point win 18/1 365/hill/Betfair
Backed into 9/1 and travelled well but didn’t stay, may be worth another bet over a shorter trip next time
Toe The line is far too consistent to be let of here at 20/1. He was a fast finishing 4th int ehEbor and followed that up with a few very good performances 102 with a 5lbs claimer on makes him a very good proposition at 20/1 with 5 places.
1 Point EW 20/1 5 places 365 18/1 5 places betfair
Ran a great race to be in with a chance 2 out but just faded into 6th and we just missed out on the EW payoff.