Paddy Power Gold Cup
I’ve had Buywise in my mind for this for a while now and have been waiting for NRNB to have a decent bet. I don’t fancy a lot of those ahead of him in the betting primarily because they have gone up too much in the weights. Buywise will need to improve his jumping but is certainly capable of winning this of this mark. He loves the hill here so if he is in contention 2 out he won’t be far away. I think the 16/1 available now will not last and I expect him to go off between 8/1 & 10/1.
2 Points EW 16/1 Ladbrokes/888/32/10bet
Well what can be said here, he was backed into 10/1 and but for not getting a clear path after the last fence he probably should have won. It was a heartbreaking 2nd but still we were on the right horse and 2pts EW at 16/1 is still a decent payout. Anoth big crossbar hit
Paddy Power Gold Cup
Present View appeals here at a very big price. He was very good in this last year of 1lb higher, and although he has been disappointing in only a few runs since, he is surly been prepared with this in mind. He also owes me one as he beat one of my bets of the festival a couple of years ago. I think 25/1 look a very big price for such good course and race form. 5 places is a big bonus here.
1 Point EW 25/1 5 places 365/tote/fred/pp and others
Got left at the start and pulled up soon after after being way to far behind, well keep an eye on his as heel be close in one of these at a big price.
Cheltenham 1:50
I’m guilty of following horses a bit too much in National Hunt, but that approach probably works around Cheltenham. Shotgun Paddy appeals here of a decent mark, after a poor enough year last year. What he does have is a decent record fresh and some good course form along with the certainty that he can stay this trip. This may be the time to catch him and he won’t be inconvenienced if there is any further rain. 14/1 is a bit of value. I also can’t resist a small bet on Godsmejudge, he is plenty good enough to get involved here if moving yards can spark some life back into him and it’s worth the risk at 33/1
1 Point win Shotgun Paddy 14/1 Generally
½ Point win Godsmejudge 33/1 Generally
Shotgun ran a great race to be 5th, and will undoubtedly win one of these races soon enough but may need an even longer trip. Gods ran well up to a point before getting tired but i think ill have an interest in him soon at the right price
Cheltenham 3:00
So fine sticks out here as a horse on a good mark. He has been off a long time but has been dropped to a workable mark for that and with stable in fine form he looks sure to be ready to roll here. His form around here is pretty good and 20/1 looks worth a bet.
1 Point win 20/1 Generally
He was backed into 12/1 but didn’t stay probably due to lack of fitness. Again he may be of interest soon at a hopefully big price.
Lingfield 2:35
Medicean Man is being overlooked unfairly here at a big looking 9/1.There isn’t a lot between him and the ones at the top of the market on form this year and on his day he can be better than any of them. He has very good AW form in general and the bookies have overreacted to his last un which was a bit below form but I’m always ready to forgive sprinters a poorer run.
1 Point win 9/1
traveled well but didn’t look to stay the 6 around here.