All week I’ve been looking at this race and landing on the same spot. John Spirit has never run a bad race here and has tons of form in these races. He never really got involved last time and was eased after making a mistake at the second last, after making some progress before that. He had probably too much weight that time but 11:05 here on a mark he is well capable of; along with a 16/1 price tag is just too much value to ignore. This looks a bit of a weaker race than the Paddy Power and I have him as an 8/1 shot at best so that signifies a 2 point bet. EW with only 3 places and 16/1 just isn’t value here so we’ll leave that part of the bet.
2 Points win 16/1 VC/PP/Hills 20 on Betfair.
Didn’t run at all well really tiring 2 out. But i’m beginning to think we might get a big day out of him in March if he drops a few more pounds.
Fairly easy value bet here in Hargam. He looks sure to be suited by this tougher race and there wasn’t much between him and the favourite in the triumph. 10/1 is just silliness compared to odds on for Peace and Co having his first run this season. It may be the only time he can beat Peace & Co but if he is to it’ll be here.
1 Point win 10/1 Ladbrokes 9/1 Elsewhere
Ran really well to be 3rd only 1 length away.
Pearl Castle catches the eye here as an improving flat horse who certainly has scope over hurdles. He was a very good 6th in the Galway Hurdle last year of around this mark on a course that probably wouldn’t have suited him. He has won here twice over the Course & Distance and of this mark could well have a great shot here. 10/1 looks a small bit of value.
1 Point win 10/1 Generally Non Runner
Going with a gut feeling here in Workbenck who was very decent when 2nd here on his second last run and course form around here is everything. He was poor next time out at Ascot but at 33/1 for a table in form he is easily value at that price and I’ll go with a min bet in case my gut that he will improve here.
½ Point win 33/1 888/32red/Betfair
Ran a great race to be 3rd but was a victim of our limited EW betting. Still a nice bit f value found.