This race has a strange look about it with some possible non stayers near the top of the market. I’m going to go with Sir Des Champs here at a very big price. If he can recover some form he looks to have a huge chance of at least placing here. He was well supported last time out but a couple of poor jumps and tiredness after put paid to his chances. He is very likely to improve for that run and if he does the 25/1 on offer here in this race is going to look huge. He is still only 10 and fairly obviously has form in the bag before his long break that would make that price seem silly.
1 Point EW 25/1 Boyles/Paddy
Looked to struggle here and just isn’t back to anything like his old form
Unioniste on the face of it could win this by 10 lengths if the handbrake is off today but with the national weights out in only 10 days’ time they would simply be mad to be ready to win this. I’ve gone through the field and decided that nothing can win here so where does that leave us. I’m going to go with the outsider of the field here in Seventh Sky. He has been very consistent this year and despite the fact that it looks like the jockey has got of him for another here I haven’t and ounce of interest in any of the others here. 14/1 looks like a small bit of value.
1 Point win 14/1 vc/stan/coral/hills
Struggled for the last 3rd of the race, probably had too much weight.
Vercingetorix was a bit of an eye catcher last time out in a much better race than this of a much higher mark. He simply has to be close here in this race and 10/1 looks a bit of value. He has a few too many 2nds to be confortable but the combination of weaker race and lower mark here are compelling.
1 Point win 10/1 365/boyles/fred
Backed into 6/1 and came there with a chance but he is just to slow in the finish
I apologise for sticking a big dog race selection up in the middle of the NH season but Captain Cat looks value here at 10/1 . He ran a good race last time out when coming from the back to be 2nd and the step up on trip here should suit judging by his close 5th in the winter derby last year. 10/1 looks at least 3 points too big.
1 Point win 10/1 Betfair/Hills
Was backed into 6/1 and went far to wide on the final bend to be close up in 3rd at the finish
Little Boy Boru looks to have a decent shot of placing at least here judging by the weight turnaround with some near the top of the market here from their runs in the Lanzarote . He is a dour stayer but has some decent for in good races last year and started this year out pretty good as well here. 20/1 is too big and if he can improve for his last run at all he should be able to get involved here at the finish
1 Point EW 20/1 generally
Plugged on for 4th, so just outside the places.