On form Highland Reel is probably the best horse here on what we know so far. With the ground getting better by the day I think he is hugely underrated here at a massive price of 11/1. He won the Honk Kong Vase in some style last year and the favourite would have to be fairly special to beat him if he’s on a going day. Ryan Moore has deserted him but that doesn’t worry me at all. I think we are looking at a 5-6/1 shot so 11/1 is great value.
2 Points win 11/1 sky/paddy/lads 12/1 Betfair
Heartbreaking race. He is at least 6-7 lbs clear of these and the dropped whip cost us a nice win
My Starting point here is the English form may be well overrated here and I’ll be looking for a bit of value. The Average Aussie Sprinter is normally a step ahead of the European Crew and to me their representative here Holler is a proven Group 1 horse, and seems to have been ignored too easily in comparison to other sprinters that have come over here. There trainer has had this race in mind for him and hopefully there won’t be much more rain and Good-Soft would probably be fine. He could get his own way in front and never see another horse. He is also proven over a slightly longer trip which will come in handy for this tough 6 Furlongs. 12/1 looks great value
2 Points win 12/1 generally
Not Good Enough
Fort Bastion is taking a nice step down in class here and has been running well this year. He won’t be far away with the addition of a 5lbs claimer here. 16/1 in this field looks well overpriced. He also won over c&d last year around this time of the year of this mark.
2 Points win 16/1 Generally
Backed into 11/1 but slow away again.
Poyle Vinnie is the one that mainly interest’s me here at a big price. He was 2nd in last years Ayr Gold cup and has looked to me to be on the way up as a sprinter. He is of the same mark here and has proven soft ground form. 40/1 is too big.
In addition I’m going for Majestic Moon who is proven in these big handicaps and stays a bit further which might be useful today. He also likes it around here and is happy with cut in the ground 66/1 is nice value.
1 Point ew 40/1 5 Places generally Poyle Vinnie
1 Point ew 66/1 365/fred/vc/lads 5 Places Majestic Moon
Both ran well but didnt have enough speed at the end