It’s possible that Village Vic will be near impossible to peg back here in a weaker race than his previous runs, but I’m going to go with Vaniteux for value at 12/1. To me he looks a stayer as he lacks a real turn of foot to win over 2 miles. He has run well on both his runs this year and I think the good ground here over the longer trip will suit him. He finished last year with a good run over hurdles at this trip and if he can improve at all he is right in the firing line here at a bigger than expected price.
1 Point win 12/1 365/stan/coral
This looks a very tight race but I’m not as negative about Old Guard as some. I think there is nothing between nearly the whole field but there is potential for improvement over this trip with him and he looks the value here at 16/1. I think his last 2 runs are pretty decent and if he can step up at all he won’t be far away. The fly in the ointment here is Cole Harden getting 8 lbs. from most of the field and we all could be made silly but he probably needs further .
1 Point win 16/1 Generally 18/1 Stan
This looks a decent enough race but about 2/3rds of the field can be rules out here fairly easily. I think Aubusson ran better than his finishing place in the Hennessy as he got shuffled back at the worst possible time coming around the final bend and lugged on reasonable well with no chance after that. I don’t think there will be much between him and Vyta Du Roc on that run and he is much better value.
1 Point win 16/1 stars/fred/sporting/stan/tote/betway
Struggled in the changed ground with top weight