I’m not so sure about the relative strength of this race so in that light I think the top weight Old Guard could be real value here at his price of 28/1. On looking at his recent somewhat disappointing races he won’t be that far away on that form and if he can improve for the step up in trip he can win here. The other one I’m looking at here is Modus and I’m pretty sure he will be close here as well. Ill stick with the big price value on Old Guard and have a min bet save on Modus
1 Point win 28/1 Old Guard 365/vc/coral/hills
½ Point win 10/1 Modus Generally
Nice win from Modus to get us of the mark for the year. Old Guard caught the eye and i think will be winning soon
On hurdles form from 2 years ago Masters Hill would be a short price favourite here of this mark, but his last run was poor enough in a similar race to this. I’m going to give him a change to improve here at a price that is worth the risk. He will stay and doesn’t mind soft ground 25/1. Ill have a small min bet at an huge price on Buddy Bolero as well here as he won one of these before for David Pipe not that long ago of a higher mark and id be kicking myself if we didn’t have a tiny bet at a huge 40/1 just in case.
1 Point win Masters Hill25/1 Generally
½ Point win Buddy Bolero 40/1 Generally
Masters Hill fell, and buddy was poor and pulled up
Bob Ford look great value here of a mark he has won before off. He ran well last time out in a tough race over the national fences but has everything in his favor here with this trip on soft heavy ground. We will know our fate early because if he is traveling well near the front he won’t be out of the 4 here. 33/1 is value for him to come back to form here.
2 Points EW 33/1 Generally
Got behind after a circuit and pulled up for a disappointing run