Scottish National 3:55 Ayr

The way things are going for the last few months any selection of mine is a fairly easy lay considering recent results, but I just can’t resist a 3 figure price about a horse that did me a favour a couple of times in the past. Firebird Flyer, let’s face it,  has been poor this year and in general is seen as a soft ground horse. He does have some bits of form on good ground which gives an indication that he can run well on decent ground. He hasn’t actually run on that ground for 3 years. He is a certain stayer on his day and is down below his last winning mark.  6 Places with Paddy Power is a fairly big concession and I just feel he might not be running here if he was going to get nowhere again.

1 Point EW 100/1 6 Places Paddy  66/1 6 places SKY

2:45 Ayr

Peace and Co is a big looking 14/1 with Paddy Power and Betfair and that just looks to good value in this race of his mark. He looks the 2nd choice here but Nicky doesn’t normally run them at this stage of the year without reason. Running of under 11st here just seems too good to be true and we’d be kicking ourselves if we went on here

1 Point win 14/1 Paddy/Betfair

Ayr 4:30

I selected Gibralfaro before the Martin Pipe this year and I remember being very happy with the way he looked in the ring. He fell early but I would not be at all surprised if he ran right up to form here and if he does he can win here at a very big price. This looks a weak race and 20/1 is just massive.

2 Points win 20/1 hills/vc/coral

Newbury 3:40

Master Carpenter was a big eye-catcher for me in the Lincoln from the worst possible position and he really in on a workable mark here. He certainly can win here if things go his way and 22/1 is just way to big.

2 Points win 22/1 hill/Stan 20/1 365/vc/boyles