It not that often I get excited when I see a price about a horse I’m not expecting. Pinkie Brown was 5th in this last year of this mark (albeit with a 4 yo allowance). He has certainly improved this year with some very good 2mile novice chase form. He is in the region of a stone better on his chase form this year and even improved on a flat run as well late last year. He is a prominent racer and that works well around here in these races. Neil Mullholland is hardly send him back to this race for a spin and with a decent 7lbs claimer on as well, he is surly going to get involved here. When I read this form and then looked up for a price, I was fully expecting about 12/1, but he is 28/1 with 5 places. This warrants a decent bet as he can’t go off much more that 16/1. He has one negative and that is a poor run at Cheltenham but that race was about 5 divisions up from this one.
2.5 Points EW 28/1 5 Places 365/Coral 25/1 6 places sky
Sadler’s Risk is going to be hard to knock out of the places here. He has course form is a stone well in on his chase form and likes good ground. He ran a nice race last time out over hurdles on unsuitable soft ground and 40/1 seem a huge price to me.
1 Point EW 40/1 5 places paddy 33/1 6 places sky 33/1 5 places fred/365
Sure Reef is my other pick in this race. He gave me the indication he may be capable of something this year on his runs earlier. He was poor at Cheltenham but we can forgive him that. If he can get back to progression on decent ground 40/1 is going to look big as he is a strong traveller.
1 Point EW40/1 6 places Sky 5 Places paddy/tote/coral